Target Healthcare REIT PLC

BATS-CHIXE:THRLL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£485.0m

Target Healthcare REIT Valuation

Is THRLL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of THRLL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: THRLL (£0.78) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: THRLL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for THRLL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

THRLL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does THRLL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for THRLL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
IHR Impact Healthcare REIT
7.5x2.3%UK£364.6m
PHP Primary Health Properties
45.6x33.8%UK£1.2b
ESP Empiric Student Property
10.2x17.8%UK£543.1m
PRSR PRS REIT
7.3x17.4%UK£422.4m
THRLL Target Healthcare REIT
8.3x7.7%UK£485.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: THRLL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does THRLL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Health Care REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: THRLL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the Global Health Care REITs industry average (31.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is THRLL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

THRLL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: THRLL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst THRLL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.78
UK£0.99
+27.2%
4.5%UK£1.04UK£0.95n/a2
May ’25UK£0.79
UK£0.99
+26.8%
4.5%UK£1.04UK£0.95n/a2
Apr ’25UK£0.84
UK£1.02
+21.3%
6.4%UK£1.08UK£0.95n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.80
UK£1.02
+27.4%
6.4%UK£1.08UK£0.95n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.82
UK£1.00
+22.0%
5.0%UK£1.05UK£0.95n/a2
Jan ’25UK£0.85
UK£1.00
+17.5%
5.0%UK£1.05UK£0.95n/a2
Dec ’24UK£0.83
UK£1.00
+20.2%
5.0%UK£1.05UK£0.95n/a2
Nov ’24UK£0.74
UK£1.00
+35.0%
5.0%UK£1.05UK£0.95n/a2
Oct ’24UK£0.76
UK£1.01
+32.7%
5.9%UK£1.07UK£0.95n/a2
Sep ’24UK£0.75
UK£1.01
+35.4%
5.9%UK£1.07UK£0.95n/a2
Aug ’24UK£0.73
UK£1.01
+38.2%
5.9%UK£1.07UK£0.95n/a2
Jul ’24UK£0.72
UK£1.01
+41.1%
5.9%UK£1.07UK£0.95n/a2
Jun ’24UK£0.79
UK£1.01
+28.2%
5.9%UK£1.07UK£0.95UK£0.782
May ’24UK£0.77
UK£0.97
+26.6%
7.3%UK£1.07UK£0.90UK£0.793
Apr ’24UK£0.70
UK£0.97
+38.2%
7.3%UK£1.07UK£0.90UK£0.843
Mar ’24UK£0.78
UK£0.97
+25.6%
7.3%UK£1.07UK£0.90UK£0.803
Feb ’24UK£0.80
UK£0.97
+21.5%
7.3%UK£1.07UK£0.90UK£0.823
Jan ’24UK£0.82
UK£0.97
+18.6%
7.3%UK£1.07UK£0.90UK£0.853
Dec ’23UK£0.79
UK£0.97
+23.0%
7.3%UK£1.07UK£0.90UK£0.833
Nov ’23UK£0.89
UK£0.97
+9.1%
7.3%UK£1.07UK£0.90UK£0.743
Oct ’23UK£0.92
UK£1.09
+18.6%
1.3%UK£1.10UK£1.07UK£0.763
Sep ’23UK£1.08
UK£1.21
+12.6%
8.5%UK£1.35UK£1.10UK£0.753
Aug ’23UK£1.13
UK£1.25
+10.2%
5.9%UK£1.35UK£1.19UK£0.733
Jul ’23UK£1.08
UK£1.26
+16.1%
5.3%UK£1.35UK£1.20UK£0.723
Jun ’23UK£1.17
UK£1.26
+7.3%
5.3%UK£1.35UK£1.20UK£0.793

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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