Covivio Valuation

Is COVP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COVP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COVP (€51.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€35.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COVP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COVP?

Key metric: As COVP is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for COVP. This is calculated by dividing COVP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is COVP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.4x
Sales€1.06b
Market Cap€5.78b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does COVP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for COVP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.1x
LAND Land Securities Group
5.7x-0.7%UK£4.5b
LMP LondonMetric Property
21.8x15.3%UK£3.9b
BLND British Land
7.8x6.0%UK£3.9b
UKCM UK Commercial Property REIT
13xn/aUK£947.3m
COVP Covivio
5.4x4.2%€5.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: COVP is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.4x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does COVP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PS range
No. of Companies4PS048121620+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: COVP is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.4x) compared to the European REITs industry average (8.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COVP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COVP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate COVP's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COVP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€51.90
€62.17
+19.8%
4.3%€66.00€56.00n/a11
Nov ’25€54.05
€62.17
+15.0%
4.3%€66.00€56.00n/a11
Oct ’25€56.18
€56.17
-0.004%
9.6%€62.00€40.50n/a11
Sep ’25n/a
€54.95
0%
7.8%€62.50€46.00n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
€54.95
0%
7.8%€62.50€46.00n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
€54.39
0%
6.9%€59.90€46.00n/a10
Jun ’25€47.85
€53.39
+11.6%
6.5%€57.00€46.00n/a10
May ’25n/a
€53.09
0%
6.6%€58.00€46.00n/a10
Apr ’25€45.86
€51.33
+11.9%
9.1%€58.00€40.50n/a11
Mar ’25n/a
€50.35
0%
9.5%€58.00€40.50n/a11
Feb ’25€45.31
€50.90
+12.3%
10.3%€58.00€40.50n/a11
Jan ’25n/a
€46.96
0%
9.1%€55.00€40.50n/a11
Dec ’24€43.51
€46.80
+7.6%
9.0%€55.00€40.50n/a11
Nov ’24n/a
€47.18
0%
9.0%€55.00€40.50€54.0510
Oct ’24n/a
€48.54
0%
11.8%€60.00€40.50€56.1810
Sep ’24€44.65
€52.53
+17.6%
10.8%€62.00€44.00n/a10
Aug ’24n/a
€54.50
0%
10.1%€62.00€45.00n/a10
Jul ’24€43.88
€55.30
+26.0%
10.8%€65.00€45.00n/a10
Jun ’24€45.38
€58.40
+28.7%
12.6%€70.20€45.00€47.859
May ’24€51.45
€58.53
+13.8%
13.0%€71.40€45.00n/a9
Apr ’24€51.80
€59.20
+14.3%
13.7%€71.40€45.00€45.869
Mar ’24€60.10
€60.02
-0.1%
12.9%€70.80€45.00n/a9
Feb ’24€62.70
€59.50
-5.1%
12.7%€71.10€45.00€45.319
Jan ’24n/a
€56.94
0%
11.7%€68.00€45.00n/a9
Dec ’23€56.00
€58.03
+3.6%
13.5%€70.00€45.00€43.519
Nov ’23€53.00
€58.99
+11.3%
14.4%€70.00€45.00n/a9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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