Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy Sirius Real Estate Limited (LON:SRE)?

LSE:SRE
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Sirius Real Estate Limited (LON:SRE), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the LSE, rising to highs of UK£0.92 and falling to the lows of UK£0.70. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Sirius Real Estate's current trading price of UK£0.75 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Sirius Real Estate’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Sirius Real Estate

What Is Sirius Real Estate Worth?

Sirius Real Estate appears to be overvalued by 32% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at UK£0.75 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of £0.57. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Sirius Real Estate’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Sirius Real Estate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:SRE Earnings and Revenue Growth April 20th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Sirius Real Estate, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? If you believe SRE should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SRE for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Price climbed passed its true value, in addition to a risky future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Sirius Real Estate (of which 2 are concerning!) you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:SRE

Sirius Real Estate

A real estate company, engages in the investment, development, and operation of commercial and industrial properties in Germany and the United Kingdom.

6 star dividend payer and good value.