UBM Development Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

UBM Development is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 109.8% and 26.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 109.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.3% in 3 years.

Key information

109.8%

Earnings growth rate

109.6%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	58.5%
Revenue growth rate	26.3%
Future return on equity	6.3%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	30 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:0GD5 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	312	28	11	33	4
12/31/2025	285	13	79	14	4
12/31/2024	157	-15	-5	14	4
6/30/2024	90	-35	-56	-14	N/A
3/31/2024	88	-61	-82	-37	N/A
12/31/2023	85	-52	-93	-54	N/A
9/30/2023	81	-10	-94	-40	N/A
6/30/2023	86	-27	-99	-65	N/A
3/31/2023	121	13	-52	-30	N/A
12/31/2022	134	17	-103	-71	N/A
9/30/2022	175	12	-85	-49	N/A
6/30/2022	217	22	-77	-13	N/A
3/31/2022	267	27	-114	-50	N/A
12/31/2021	278	34	-107	-46	N/A
9/30/2021	275	34	-163	-84	N/A
6/30/2021	251	34	-164	-112	N/A
3/31/2021	184	21	-143	-97	N/A
12/31/2020	183	33	-78	-35	N/A
9/30/2020	186	39	-111	-32	N/A
6/30/2020	230	49	-117	7	N/A
3/31/2020	247	62	-128	7	N/A
12/31/2019	242	46	-178	-40	N/A
9/30/2019	250	47	-240	73	N/A
6/30/2019	238	40	-238	70	N/A
3/31/2019	374	37	-232	114	N/A
12/31/2018	514	40	-233	114	N/A
9/30/2018	515	43	-133	29	N/A
6/30/2018	498	40	-152	-8	N/A
3/31/2018	455	38	N/A	-26	N/A
12/31/2017	365	36	N/A	2	N/A
9/30/2017	337	33	N/A	-5	N/A
6/30/2017	461	33	N/A	22	N/A
3/31/2017	423	29	N/A	41	N/A
12/31/2016	417	29	N/A	42	N/A
9/30/2016	485	34	N/A	123	N/A
6/30/2016	389	38	N/A	96	N/A
3/31/2016	334	35	N/A	36	N/A
12/31/2015	309	34	N/A	14	N/A
9/30/2015	270	24	N/A	-59	N/A
6/30/2015	247	23	N/A	-69	N/A
3/31/2015	236	22	N/A	-47	N/A
12/31/2014	224	22	N/A	-26	N/A
9/30/2014	230	18	N/A	-10	N/A
6/30/2014	235	14	N/A	6	N/A
3/31/2014	227	13	N/A	9	N/A
12/31/2013	218	13	N/A	13	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 0GD5 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.1%).

Earnings vs Market: 0GD5 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 0GD5 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 0GD5's revenue (26.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (3.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 0GD5's revenue (26.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 0GD5's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.3%).

UBM Development Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

UBM Development AG Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

Recent updates

No independent directors

No independent directors

UBM Development AG to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 11, 2025

New major risk - Revenue size

First quarter 2024 earnings released: €1.27 loss per share (vs €0.15 loss in 1Q 2023)

No independent directors

Full year 2023 earnings released: €7.03 loss per share (vs €2.25 profit in FY 2022)

Vienna Insurance Group AG (WBAG:VIG) acquired remaining 43% stake in Palais Hansen Immobilienentwicklung GmbH from Warimpex Finanz- und Beteiligungs AG (WBAG:WXF) and UBM Development AG (WBAG:UBS).

Third quarter 2023 earnings released

UBM Development AG, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2024

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: €4.19 loss per share (vs €1.17 profit in 2Q 2022)

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.15 (vs €0.32 in 1Q 2022)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

UBM Development AG Announces Resignation of Martin Löcker as Member of the Management Board and COO, Effective June 30, 2023

Upcoming dividend of €1.10 per share at 3.4% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: €2.25 (vs €4.50 in FY 2021)

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: €0.49 loss per share (vs €0.77 profit in 3Q 2021)

UBM Development AG to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Mar 29, 2023

UBM Development AG to Report Q1, 2023 Results on May 25, 2023

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: €1.17 (vs €1.90 in 2Q 2021)

UBM Development AG Provides Earnings Guidance for the Year 2022

UBM Development AG to Report Fiscal Year 2021 Final Results on Aug 04, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings released

Now 25% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of €2.25 per share

Now 21% undervalued

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: €4.50 (vs €4.39 in FY 2020)

UBM Development AG Proposes Dividend for 2021

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued

Third quarter 2021 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS €1.90 (vs €0.25 in 2Q 2020)

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS €1.20 (vs €2.74 in 1Q 2020)

Upcoming dividend of €2.20 per share

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS €4.39 (vs €7.10 in FY 2019)

Eastern Property Holdings Limited (SWX:EPH) completed the acquisition of Office, Retail Space and Parking Garage located at Am Belvedere 10, 1100 Vienna from UBM Development AG (WBAG:UBS) and S IMMO AG (WBAG:SPI).

Market bids up stock over the past week

Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS €0.64

Revenue misses expectations

HanseMerkur Grundvermögen AG acquired F.A.Z. Tower in Frankfurt from UBM Development AG (WBAG:UBS) for approximately €200 million.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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