PATRIZIA Valuation

Is 0FJC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0FJC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0FJC (€7.46) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0FJC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0FJC?

Key metric: As 0FJC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0FJC. This is calculated by dividing 0FJC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0FJC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.4x
Sales€271.19m
Market Cap€650.17m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0FJC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0FJC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.5x
FPO First Property Group
3xn/aUK£23.7m
WINK M Winkworth
2.4x7.4%UK£24.3m
HWG Harworth Group
5.7x19.7%UK£543.8m
DAR Dar Global
2.7x26.8%US$811.9m
0FJC PATRIZIA
2.4x3.8%€650.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0FJC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the peer average (3.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0FJC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Real Estate Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IWG International Workplace Group
0.6x6.1%US$2.12b
ETLN Etalon Group
0.3x10.5%US$210.89m
WJG Watkin Jones
0.1x1.6%US$67.22m
RAV Raven Property Group
0.1x-0.2%US$23.74m
0FJC 2.4xIndustry Avg. 3.9xNo. of Companies10PS02.44.87.29.612+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0FJC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the UK Real Estate industry average (3.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0FJC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0FJC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.4x
Fair PS Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0FJC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0FJC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.46
€9.08
+21.7%
9.9%€9.90€7.50n/a5
Nov ’25€7.66
€9.48
+23.7%
5.8%€10.30€8.70n/a5
Oct ’25€8.99
€9.40
+4.6%
14.0%€11.50€7.50n/a5
Sep ’25€8.10
€9.40
+16.0%
14.0%€11.50€7.50n/a5
Aug ’25€7.22
€9.84
+36.3%
11.1%€11.50€8.70n/a5
Jul ’25€7.07
€10.34
+46.3%
13.2%€12.00€8.70n/a5
Jun ’25€8.00
€10.58
+32.3%
11.0%€12.00€8.70n/a5
May ’25€8.42
€10.74
+27.6%
13.3%€12.50€8.50n/a5
Apr ’25€8.65
€10.68
+23.5%
13.5%€12.50€8.50n/a5
Mar ’25€7.51
€10.68
+42.3%
13.5%€12.50€8.50n/a5
Feb ’25€7.91
€10.36
+31.0%
11.1%€12.00€8.50n/a5
Jan ’25€8.20
€10.16
+23.9%
12.5%€12.00€8.50n/a5
Dec ’24€7.17
€10.16
+41.7%
12.5%€12.00€8.50n/a5
Nov ’24€7.85
€10.70
+36.3%
12.1%€12.00€8.50€7.665
Oct ’24€7.53
€10.80
+43.4%
12.5%€12.00€8.50€8.995
Sep ’24€8.52
€11.26
+32.2%
16.6%€14.00€8.50€8.105
Aug ’24€9.18
€11.52
+25.5%
15.6%€14.00€9.00€7.225
Jul ’24€11.00
€13.00
+18.2%
11.7%€15.00€10.50€7.075
Jun ’24€8.70
€13.00
+49.4%
11.7%€15.00€10.50€8.005
May ’24€9.68
€13.00
+34.3%
11.7%€15.00€10.50€8.425
Apr ’24€9.60
€13.20
+37.5%
11.9%€15.00€10.50€8.655
Mar ’24€10.82
€13.06
+20.7%
10.9%€14.30€10.50€7.515
Feb ’24€11.54
€11.76
+1.9%
26.1%€14.50€8.00€7.915
Jan ’24€10.52
€11.86
+12.7%
26.7%€14.80€8.00€8.205
Dec ’23€9.71
€11.82
+21.7%
26.4%€14.60€8.00€7.175
Nov ’23€7.76
€15.18
+95.5%
43.5%€23.60€8.00€7.855

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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