Sirius Real Estate Limited

BATS-CHIXE:SREL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.2b

Sirius Real Estate Valuation

Is SREL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SREL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
UK£0.35
Fair Value
119.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SREL (£0.77) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SREL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SREL?

Key metric: As SREL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SREL. This is calculated by dividing SREL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SREL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.7x
Earnings€131.60m
Market Cap€1.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SREL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SREL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.3x
GRI Grainger
52.2x35.1%UK£1.5b
TPFG Property Franchise Group
32.8x54.9%UK£254.5m
PNS Panther Securities
75.5xn/aUK£54.7m
SVS Savills
32.8x32.7%UK£1.4b
SREL Sirius Real Estate
10.7x18.0%UK£1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SREL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the peer average (48.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SREL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Real Estate Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RAV Raven Property Group
0.3x-76.0%US$23.74m
CRC Circle Property
0.4xn/aUS$1.28m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies5PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SREL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the European Real Estate industry average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SREL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SREL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.7x
Fair PE Ratio26.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SREL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SREL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.77
UK£1.09
+40.2%
8.5%UK£1.25UK£0.99n/a5
Jan ’26UK£0.79
UK£1.16
+47.4%
4.1%UK£1.23UK£1.09n/a5
Dec ’25UK£0.87
UK£1.17
+34.3%
4.2%UK£1.25UK£1.10n/a5
Nov ’25UK£0.89
UK£1.19
+33.8%
3.2%UK£1.25UK£1.15n/a5
Oct ’25UK£0.97
UK£1.18
+22.0%
2.5%UK£1.22UK£1.15n/a5
Sep ’25UK£0.97
UK£1.19
+21.9%
2.5%UK£1.22UK£1.15n/a5
Aug ’25UK£0.95
UK£1.18
+23.5%
2.0%UK£1.20UK£1.15n/a5
Jul ’25UK£0.94
UK£1.19
+26.9%
3.5%UK£1.26UK£1.15n/a4
Jun ’25UK£0.97
UK£1.15
+17.9%
7.6%UK£1.25UK£1.01n/a4
May ’25UK£0.98
UK£1.16
+18.6%
7.5%UK£1.25UK£1.02n/a4
Apr ’25UK£0.98
UK£1.15
+18.2%
7.7%UK£1.25UK£1.01n/a4
Mar ’25UK£0.89
UK£1.15
+30.1%
7.7%UK£1.25UK£1.01n/a4
Feb ’25UK£0.89
UK£1.15
+29.4%
7.7%UK£1.25UK£1.01UK£0.804
Jan ’25UK£0.94
UK£1.14
+20.6%
9.0%UK£1.29UK£1.01UK£0.794
Dec ’24UK£0.89
UK£1.14
+28.5%
9.0%UK£1.30UK£1.02UK£0.874
Nov ’24UK£0.81
UK£1.18
+45.3%
6.1%UK£1.24UK£1.06UK£0.894
Oct ’24UK£0.86
UK£1.17
+35.9%
6.3%UK£1.24UK£1.05UK£0.974
Sep ’24UK£0.87
UK£1.17
+34.1%
6.2%UK£1.23UK£1.05UK£0.974
Aug ’24UK£0.82
UK£1.17
+42.7%
6.2%UK£1.23UK£1.05UK£0.954
Jul ’24UK£0.85
UK£1.10
+28.6%
9.5%UK£1.22UK£0.95UK£0.944
Jun ’24UK£0.83
UK£1.11
+33.6%
9.1%UK£1.20UK£0.95UK£0.974
May ’24UK£0.80
UK£1.12
+39.9%
9.7%UK£1.22UK£0.96UK£0.984
Apr ’24UK£0.77
UK£1.13
+47.2%
9.8%UK£1.23UK£0.96UK£0.984
Mar ’24UK£0.82
UK£1.14
+39.0%
10.2%UK£1.25UK£0.96UK£0.894
Feb ’24UK£0.84
UK£1.14
+34.9%
10.4%UK£1.24UK£0.96UK£0.894
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
UK£1.08
Fair Value
28.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/05 07:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/05 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Sirius Real Estate Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kai KloseBerenberg
Miranda CockburnBerenberg
Charlie Philip FosterCanaccord Genuity