Stock Analysis

Is Caledonian Trust (LON:CNN) Using Too Much Debt?

AIM:CNN
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Caledonian Trust PLC (LON:CNN) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Caledonian Trust

What Is Caledonian Trust's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Caledonian Trust had UK£4.02m of debt in December 2023, down from UK£4.38m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of UK£2.21m, its net debt is less, at about UK£1.81m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:CNN Debt to Equity History May 24th 2024

A Look At Caledonian Trust's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Caledonian Trust had liabilities of UK£733.0k due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£4.02m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£2.21m and UK£136.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£2.40m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Caledonian Trust has a market capitalization of UK£11.8m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Caledonian Trust's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

It seems likely shareholders hope that Caledonian Trust can significantly advance the business plan before too long, because it doesn't have any significant revenue at the moment.

Caveat Emptor

While Caledonian Trust's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at UK£90k. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of UK£50k. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Caledonian Trust (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Caledonian Trust is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.