Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (publ)

LSE:0MTD Stock Report

Market Cap: kr96.3b

Swedish Orphan Biovitrum Valuation

Is 0MTD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0MTD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0MTD (SEK283.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK646.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0MTD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0MTD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0MTD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.8x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0MTD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0MTD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.3x
GNS Genus
35x26.0%UK£1.2b
NIOX NIOX Group
31.2x16.7%UK£296.8m
BVXP Bioventix
26.8x5.2%UK£232.3m
HIK Hikma Pharmaceuticals
28.3x18.0%UK£4.3b
0MTD Swedish Orphan Biovitrum
45x25.0%kr96.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0MTD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45x) compared to the peer average (30.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0MTD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0MTD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (30.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0MTD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0MTD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45x
Fair PE Ratio37.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0MTD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0MTD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr283.20
kr317.22
+12.0%
9.8%kr370.00kr252.00n/a9
Apr ’25kr267.20
kr317.70
+18.9%
9.6%kr370.00kr252.00n/a10
Mar ’25kr253.79
kr317.91
+25.3%
9.2%kr370.00kr252.00n/a11
Feb ’25kr297.17
kr316.20
+6.4%
8.0%kr345.00kr252.00n/a10
Jan ’25kr267.30
kr297.00
+11.1%
6.0%kr325.00kr252.00n/a10
Dec ’24kr248.83
kr293.00
+17.7%
7.0%kr325.00kr252.00n/a10
Nov ’24kr234.00
kr287.45
+22.8%
10.0%kr325.00kr222.00n/a11
Oct ’24kr223.48
kr285.55
+27.8%
10.0%kr325.00kr222.00n/a11
Sep ’24kr211.02
kr284.18
+34.7%
10.1%kr325.00kr222.00n/a11
Aug ’24kr206.51
kr288.27
+39.6%
9.8%kr325.00kr222.00n/a11
Jul ’24kr210.40
kr286.80
+36.3%
10.4%kr325.00kr216.00n/a10
Jun ’24kr212.00
kr285.80
+34.8%
10.6%kr325.00kr216.00n/a10
May ’24kr248.18
kr287.20
+15.7%
11.5%kr325.00kr211.00n/a10
Apr ’24kr242.08
kr269.78
+11.4%
9.6%kr305.00kr211.00kr267.209
Mar ’24kr239.61
kr269.78
+12.6%
9.6%kr305.00kr211.00kr253.799
Feb ’24kr230.72
kr253.56
+9.9%
12.5%kr305.00kr203.00kr297.179
Jan ’24kr218.10
kr249.10
+14.2%
11.9%kr295.00kr200.00kr267.3010
Dec ’23kr227.16
kr250.60
+10.3%
12.2%kr295.00kr200.00kr248.8310
Nov ’23kr207.62
kr250.60
+20.7%
12.2%kr295.00kr200.00kr234.0010
Oct ’23kr215.58
kr255.00
+18.3%
10.1%kr295.00kr203.00kr223.4810
Sep ’23kr233.00
kr253.33
+8.7%
9.0%kr280.00kr203.00kr211.029
Aug ’23kr223.10
kr250.00
+12.1%
8.8%kr270.00kr203.00kr206.518
Jul ’23kr222.21
kr245.38
+10.4%
9.8%kr266.00kr192.00kr210.408
Jun ’23kr215.05
kr245.88
+14.3%
10.0%kr269.00kr192.00kr212.008
May ’23kr208.35
kr242.75
+16.5%
11.0%kr269.00kr192.00kr248.188
Apr ’23kr228.22
kr222.89
-2.3%
10.6%kr266.00kr192.00kr242.089

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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