Heron Therapeutics, Inc.

LSE:0J4V Stock Report

Market Cap: US$393.2m

Heron Therapeutics Valuation

Is 0J4V undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0J4V when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0J4V ($2.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($26.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0J4V is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0J4V?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0J4V key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-5.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0J4V's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0J4V vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6x
BVXP Bioventix
16.6x7.2%UK£225.8m
OXB Oxford Biomedica
3.7x23.0%UK£328.0m
GNS Genus
1.8x4.4%UK£1.2b
TRX Tissue Regenix Group
1.8x13.8%UK£43.3m
0J4V Heron Therapeutics
3.1x17.2%US$393.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0J4V is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0J4V's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0J4V is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the UK Biotechs industry average (18.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0J4V's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0J4V PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.1x
Fair PS Ratio3.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0J4V is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0J4V forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.70
US$6.75
+150.0%
21.9%US$9.00US$5.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$2.73
US$7.00
+156.9%
23.3%US$9.00US$5.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$2.58
US$6.67
+158.4%
30.8%US$9.00US$4.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$2.43
US$6.67
+174.3%
30.8%US$9.00US$4.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$1.71
US$5.63
+228.9%
45.1%US$9.00US$2.50n/a4
Dec ’24US$1.26
US$5.63
+347.1%
45.1%US$9.00US$2.50n/a4
Nov ’24US$0.64
US$7.30
+1,047.6%
26.6%US$10.00US$5.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$1.01
US$7.30
+622.8%
26.6%US$10.00US$5.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$1.61
US$7.30
+353.6%
26.6%US$10.00US$5.00n/a5
Aug ’24US$1.62
US$7.30
+352.0%
26.6%US$10.00US$5.00n/a5
Jul ’24US$1.19
US$7.92
+566.1%
23.2%US$10.00US$5.50n/a6
Jun ’24US$1.16
US$7.92
+583.0%
23.2%US$10.00US$5.50n/a6
May ’24US$2.41
US$8.08
+235.6%
21.0%US$10.00US$5.50US$2.376
Apr ’24US$1.50
US$8.08
+438.2%
21.0%US$10.00US$5.50US$2.736
Mar ’24US$2.39
US$10.08
+322.8%
31.2%US$15.00US$5.50US$2.586
Feb ’24US$2.62
US$10.08
+284.7%
31.2%US$15.00US$5.50US$2.436
Jan ’24US$2.54
US$10.08
+296.5%
31.2%US$15.00US$5.50US$1.716
Dec ’23US$2.87
US$10.08
+251.1%
31.2%US$15.00US$5.50US$1.266
Nov ’23US$3.93
US$13.42
+241.8%
58.6%US$30.00US$5.50US$0.646
Oct ’23US$4.35
US$13.42
+208.4%
58.6%US$30.00US$5.50US$1.016
Sep ’23US$3.91
US$13.42
+243.6%
58.6%US$30.00US$5.50US$1.616
Aug ’23US$2.76
US$15.42
+458.6%
72.6%US$40.00US$7.50US$1.626
Jul ’23US$2.77
US$15.42
+456.2%
72.6%US$40.00US$7.50US$1.196
Jun ’23US$3.37
US$17.08
+407.7%
61.7%US$40.00US$7.50US$1.166
May ’23US$4.74
US$22.00
+364.1%
40.2%US$40.00US$13.00US$2.416

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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