Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Shield Therapeutics plc (LON:STX) Even After 35% Share Price Boost

AIM:STX
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Shield Therapeutics plc (LON:STX) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 72% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Shield Therapeutics may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 3.6x and even P/S higher than 32x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Shield Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:STX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024

How Shield Therapeutics Has Been Performing

Shield Therapeutics certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Shield Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shield Therapeutics?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shield Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 142%. Still, revenue has fallen 7.9% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 132% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 8.4%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that Shield Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Shield Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Shield Therapeutics' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Shield Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Shield Therapeutics has 4 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shield Therapeutics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shield Therapeutics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.