S4 Capital plc

LSE:SFOR Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£216.4m

S4 Capital Valuation

Is SFOR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SFOR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SFOR (£0.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SFOR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SFOR?

Key metric: As SFOR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SFOR. This is calculated by dividing SFOR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SFOR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio103.1x
EarningsUK£2.10m
Market CapUK£216.44m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SFOR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SFOR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
TIG Team Internet Group
11x0.5%UK£205.2m
EYE Eagle Eye Solutions Group
24x-9.5%UK£137.7m
SAA M&C Saatchi
21.6x27.4%UK£237.2m
NFG Next 15 Group
6.6x-8.0%UK£402.8m
SFOR S4 Capital
103.1x69.8%UK£216.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SFOR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (103.1x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SFOR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
SFOR 103.1xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SFOR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (103.1x) compared to the European Media industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SFOR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SFOR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio103.1x
Fair PE Ratio43.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SFOR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (103.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SFOR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.36
UK£0.55
+54.3%
34.2%UK£0.93UK£0.40n/a8
Nov ’25UK£0.38
UK£0.77
+102.5%
72.7%UK£2.30UK£0.44n/a9
Oct ’25UK£0.38
UK£0.78
+103.5%
71.6%UK£2.30UK£0.44n/a9
Sep ’25UK£0.56
UK£0.84
+50.5%
64.4%UK£2.30UK£0.45n/a9
Aug ’25UK£0.55
UK£0.84
+52.1%
64.4%UK£2.30UK£0.45n/a9
Jul ’25UK£0.46
UK£0.84
+82.8%
64.4%UK£2.30UK£0.45n/a9
Jun ’25UK£0.53
UK£0.84
+58.2%
64.4%UK£2.30UK£0.45n/a9
May ’25UK£0.50
UK£0.82
+65.1%
66.1%UK£2.30UK£0.44n/a9
Apr ’25UK£0.53
UK£0.82
+56.7%
66.1%UK£2.30UK£0.44n/a9
Mar ’25UK£0.41
UK£0.87
+111.6%
68.3%UK£2.50UK£0.48n/a9
Feb ’25UK£0.42
UK£0.92
+117.3%
69.5%UK£2.50UK£0.48n/a8
Jan ’25UK£0.53
UK£1.05
+96.9%
55.5%UK£2.50UK£0.55n/a8
Dec ’24UK£0.47
UK£1.12
+137.6%
51.5%UK£2.50UK£0.55n/a8
Nov ’24UK£0.66
UK£1.52
+131.9%
48.0%UK£3.25UK£0.95UK£0.387
Oct ’24UK£0.68
UK£1.61
+138.8%
44.9%UK£3.25UK£0.95UK£0.387
Sep ’24UK£1.01
UK£2.14
+111.8%
22.2%UK£3.25UK£1.60UK£0.568
Aug ’24UK£1.02
UK£2.27
+122.3%
21.7%UK£3.25UK£1.60UK£0.558
Jul ’24UK£1.26
UK£2.62
+107.8%
22.9%UK£3.75UK£1.70UK£0.469
Jun ’24UK£1.24
UK£2.62
+110.5%
22.9%UK£3.75UK£1.70UK£0.539
May ’24UK£1.46
UK£2.71
+85.2%
21.1%UK£3.75UK£1.70UK£0.509
Apr ’24UK£1.63
UK£2.75
+69.1%
20.0%UK£3.75UK£1.70UK£0.539
Mar ’24UK£2.05
UK£2.80
+36.7%
20.3%UK£3.75UK£1.80UK£0.419
Feb ’24UK£2.19
UK£2.80
+27.9%
20.3%UK£3.75UK£1.80UK£0.429
Jan ’24UK£1.89
UK£2.81
+48.6%
21.9%UK£3.90UK£1.80UK£0.539
Dec ’23UK£1.96
UK£2.80
+42.9%
22.7%UK£3.90UK£1.70UK£0.479
Nov ’23UK£1.84
UK£2.68
+45.6%
29.4%UK£4.15UK£1.70UK£0.669

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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