Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Pearson plc (LON:PSON) For Its Upcoming Dividend

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 21, 2022
LSE:PSON
Source: Shutterstock

Readers hoping to buy Pearson plc (LON:PSON) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Therefore, if you purchase Pearson's shares on or after the 24th of March, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 6th of May.

The company's upcoming dividend is UK£0.14 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of UK£0.20 per share to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Pearson has a trailing yield of 2.5% on the current share price of £8.08. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Pearson's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

See our latest analysis for Pearson

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Last year Pearson paid out 97% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. It paid out 99% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Pearson's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
LSE:PSON Historic Dividend March 21st 2022

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. It's encouraging to see Pearson has grown its earnings rapidly, up 54% a year for the past five years. Earnings per share are increasing at a rapid rate, but the company is paying out more than we are comfortable with, based on current earnings. Generally, when a company is growing this quickly and paying out all of its earnings as dividends, it can suggest either that the company is borrowing heavily to fund its growth, or that earnings growth is likely to slow due to lack of reinvestment.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Pearson's dividend payments per share have declined at 6.2% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. It's unusual to see earnings per share increasing at the same time as dividends per share have been in decline. We'd hope it's because the company is reinvesting heavily in its business, but it could also suggest business is lumpy.

Final Takeaway

Is Pearson worth buying for its dividend? While it's nice to see earnings per share growing, we're curious about how Pearson intends to continue growing, or maintain the dividend in a downturn given that it's paying out such a high percentage of its earnings and cashflow. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Pearson. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Pearson (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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