Centaur Media Valuation

Is CAU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CAU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CAU (£0.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£0.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CAU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAU?

Key metric: As CAU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CAU. This is calculated by dividing CAU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CAU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.4x
EarningsUK£4.65m
Market CapUK£34.39m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CAU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CAU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
RCH Reach
6.8x17.8%UK£282.1m
BMY Bloomsbury Publishing
14.6x-3.1%UK£548.7m
FUTR Future
10.8x5.9%UK£977.4m
NAH NAHL Group
40.4x125.7%UK£32.5m
CAU Centaur Media
7.4x-17.5%UK£34.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CAU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CAU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
CAU 7.4xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CAU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the European Media industry average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.4x
Fair PE Ratio10x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CAU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CAU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.23
UK£0.38
+63.0%
6.7%UK£0.40UK£0.35n/a2
Nov ’25UK£0.23
UK£0.38
+59.6%
6.7%UK£0.40UK£0.35n/a2
Apr ’25UK£0.40
UK£0.71
+81.0%
9.1%UK£0.78UK£0.65n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.39
UK£0.71
+85.7%
9.1%UK£0.78UK£0.65n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.38
UK£0.71
+90.7%
9.1%UK£0.78UK£0.65n/a2
Jan ’25UK£0.47
UK£0.74
+59.1%
5.4%UK£0.78UK£0.70n/a2
Dec ’24UK£0.40
UK£0.74
+85.0%
5.4%UK£0.78UK£0.70n/a2
Nov ’24UK£0.39
UK£0.74
+92.2%
5.4%UK£0.78UK£0.70UK£0.232
Oct ’24UK£0.39
UK£0.74
+92.2%
5.4%UK£0.78UK£0.70UK£0.302
Sep ’24UK£0.40
UK£0.74
+85.0%
5.4%UK£0.78UK£0.70UK£0.312
Aug ’24UK£0.45
UK£0.74
+64.4%
5.4%UK£0.78UK£0.70UK£0.332
Jul ’24UK£0.47
UK£0.77
+61.1%
2.0%UK£0.78UK£0.75UK£0.392
Jun ’24UK£0.48
UK£0.77
+59.4%
2.0%UK£0.78UK£0.75UK£0.402
May ’24UK£0.48
UK£0.77
+57.7%
2.0%UK£0.78UK£0.75UK£0.532
Apr ’24UK£0.49
UK£0.77
+56.1%
2.0%UK£0.78UK£0.75UK£0.402
Mar ’24UK£0.53
UK£0.74
+39.6%
5.4%UK£0.78UK£0.70UK£0.392
Feb ’24UK£0.50
UK£0.74
+48.0%
5.4%UK£0.78UK£0.70UK£0.382
Jan ’24UK£0.39
UK£0.73
+89.6%
4.1%UK£0.76UK£0.70UK£0.472
Dec ’23UK£0.39
UK£0.73
+87.2%
4.1%UK£0.76UK£0.70UK£0.402
Nov ’23UK£0.40
UK£0.73
+82.5%
4.1%UK£0.76UK£0.70UK£0.392

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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