Manchester United plc

LSE:0Z1Q Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

Manchester United Valuation

Is 0Z1Q undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0Z1Q when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0Z1Q ($16.98) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0Z1Q is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0Z1Q?

Key metric: As 0Z1Q is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0Z1Q. This is calculated by dividing 0Z1Q's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0Z1Q's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.5x
SalesUK£647.72m
Market CapUK£2.29b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0Z1Q's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0Z1Q vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
LBG LBG Media
3.3x9.6%UK£271.8m
CCP Celtic
1.3x-13.6%UK£158.9m
ADF Facilities by ADF
1.4x48.5%UK£38.5m
EMAN Everyman Media Group
0.5x14.3%UK£47.0m
0Z1Q Manchester United
3.5x4.9%US$2.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0Z1Q is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0Z1Q's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CINE Cineworld Group
0.002xn/aUS$6.69m
LVCG Live Company Group
0.1xn/aUS$1.37m
GILD Guild Esports
0.08xn/aUS$405.08k
No more companies available in this PS range
0Z1Q 3.5xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies3PS00.61.21.82.43+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0Z1Q is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (1.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0Z1Q's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0Z1Q PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.5x
Fair PS Ratio3.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0Z1Q is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0Z1Q forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$16.98
US$20.33
+19.8%
20.3%US$25.88US$15.93n/a4
Dec ’25US$17.01
US$19.78
+16.3%
23.2%US$26.25US$16.02n/a3
Nov ’25US$16.66
US$19.51
+17.2%
23.0%US$25.82US$15.83n/a3
Oct ’25US$15.98
US$20.34
+27.3%
21.1%US$26.19US$16.05n/a3
Sep ’25US$17.06
US$20.16
+18.2%
21.5%US$26.12US$15.90n/a3
Aug ’25US$16.59
US$20.16
+21.5%
21.5%US$26.12US$15.90n/a3
Jul ’25US$16.14
US$19.03
+17.9%
26.1%US$26.03US$15.02n/a3
Jun ’25US$16.90
US$19.03
+12.6%
26.1%US$26.03US$15.02n/a3
May ’25US$16.04
US$19.03
+18.6%
26.1%US$26.03US$15.02n/a3
Apr ’25US$14.00
US$19.03
+35.9%
26.1%US$26.03US$15.02n/a3
Mar ’25US$15.00
US$22.80
+52.0%
10.1%US$25.86US$20.32n/a3
Feb ’25US$19.52
US$24.12
+23.6%
6.2%US$26.04US$22.36n/a3
Jan ’25US$20.32
US$23.60
+16.1%
8.3%US$26.22US$21.52n/a3
Dec ’24US$19.36
US$23.60
+21.9%
8.3%US$26.22US$21.52US$17.013
Nov ’24US$17.87
US$24.12
+34.9%
8.3%US$26.03US$21.37US$16.663
Oct ’24US$19.74
US$23.99
+21.6%
6.1%US$25.47US$22.01US$15.983
Sep ’24US$23.40
US$28.71
+22.7%
20.3%US$38.80US$25.00US$17.064
Aug ’24US$21.96
US$28.91
+31.6%
19.9%US$38.83US$25.02US$16.594
Jul ’24US$24.25
US$28.91
+19.2%
19.9%US$38.83US$25.02US$16.144
Jun ’24US$18.74
US$27.95
+49.1%
20.2%US$37.71US$24.03US$16.904
May ’24US$20.08
US$27.95
+39.2%
20.2%US$37.71US$24.03US$16.044
Apr ’24US$22.34
US$27.87
+24.8%
20.1%US$37.56US$23.93US$14.004
Mar ’24US$20.73
US$27.58
+33.1%
19.9%US$37.08US$23.76US$15.004
Feb ’24US$22.31
US$24.58
+10.2%
1.9%US$24.91US$23.91US$19.523
Jan ’24US$23.28
US$24.58
+5.6%
1.9%US$24.91US$23.91US$20.323
Dec ’23US$22.66
US$16.45
-27.4%
2.6%US$17.03US$16.01US$19.363

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/29 17:51
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Manchester United plc is covered by 11 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Laurent VasilescuBNP Paribas Exane
Xian Siew Hew SamBNP Paribas Exane