Paradox Interactive AB (publ)

LSE:0GDU Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 19.3b

Paradox Interactive Valuation

Is 0GDU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0GDU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0GDU (SEK182.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK244.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0GDU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0GDU?

Key metric: As 0GDU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0GDU. This is calculated by dividing 0GDU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0GDU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio51.8x
EarningsSEK 372.08m
Market CapSEK 19.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0GDU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0GDU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.3x
GMR Gaming Realms
16.3x22.1%UK£109.4m
FOUR 4imprint Group
15.9x4.6%UK£1.4b
BCG Baltic Classifieds Group
61.4x19.8%UK£1.6b
TRST Trustpilot Group
87.5x-0.2%UK£1.2b
0GDU Paradox Interactive
51.8x41.4%SEK 19.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0GDU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the peer average (45.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0GDU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0GDU 51.8xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0GDU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (12.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0GDU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0GDU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.8x
Fair PE Ratio32.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0GDU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0GDU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 182.05
SEK 212.50
+16.7%
23.8%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a6
Nov ’25SEK 203.20
SEK 211.67
+4.2%
23.8%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a6
Oct ’25SEK 181.70
SEK 190.00
+4.6%
23.4%SEK 240.00SEK 125.00n/a5
Sep ’25SEK 141.00
SEK 190.00
+34.8%
23.4%SEK 240.00SEK 125.00n/a5
Aug ’25SEK 151.10
SEK 191.00
+26.4%
22.5%SEK 240.00SEK 130.00n/a5
Jul ’25SEK 142.35
SEK 196.00
+37.7%
22.7%SEK 250.00SEK 130.00n/a5
Jun ’25SEK 149.40
SEK 227.50
+52.3%
19.0%SEK 270.00SEK 160.00n/a4
May ’25SEK 168.40
SEK 242.50
+44.0%
9.4%SEK 270.00SEK 220.00n/a4
Apr ’25SEK 188.19
SEK 253.75
+34.8%
9.2%SEK 280.00SEK 220.00n/a4
Mar ’25SEK 192.29
SEK 253.75
+32.0%
9.2%SEK 280.00SEK 220.00n/a4
Feb ’25SEK 199.05
SEK 255.00
+28.1%
10.6%SEK 280.00SEK 215.00n/a4
Jan ’25SEK 224.99
SEK 258.75
+15.0%
10.7%SEK 285.00SEK 215.00n/a4
Dec ’24SEK 211.66
SEK 258.75
+22.2%
10.7%SEK 285.00SEK 215.00n/a4
Nov ’24SEK 214.40
SEK 261.25
+21.9%
11.4%SEK 290.00SEK 215.00SEK 203.204
Oct ’24SEK 228.74
SEK 293.75
+28.4%
5.6%SEK 315.00SEK 270.00SEK 181.704
Sep ’24SEK 279.19
SEK 301.25
+7.9%
3.0%SEK 315.00SEK 290.00SEK 141.004
Aug ’24SEK 307.98
SEK 293.75
-4.6%
7.0%SEK 315.00SEK 260.00SEK 151.104
Jul ’24SEK 269.92
SEK 262.25
-2.8%
3.5%SEK 278.00SEK 255.00SEK 142.354
Jun ’24SEK 269.82
SEK 245.80
-8.9%
13.8%SEK 278.00SEK 180.00SEK 149.405
May ’24SEK 255.40
SEK 226.80
-11.2%
12.9%SEK 260.00SEK 180.00SEK 168.405
Apr ’24SEK 257.59
SEK 210.60
-18.2%
7.3%SEK 220.00SEK 180.00SEK 188.195
Mar ’24SEK 226.62
SEK 210.60
-7.1%
7.3%SEK 220.00SEK 180.00SEK 192.295
Feb ’24SEK 187.28
SEK 198.80
+6.2%
5.3%SEK 209.00SEK 180.00SEK 199.055
Jan ’24SEK 213.10
SEK 201.80
-5.3%
6.7%SEK 220.00SEK 180.00SEK 224.995
Dec ’23SEK 199.77
SEK 201.80
+1.0%
6.7%SEK 220.00SEK 180.00SEK 211.665
Nov ’23SEK 196.83
SEK 200.80
+2.0%
7.1%SEK 220.00SEK 180.00SEK 214.405

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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