Paradox Interactive AB (publ)

LSE:0GDU Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 22.6b

Paradox Interactive Valuation

Is 0GDU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0GDU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 248.98
Fair Value
14.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0GDU (SEK212) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK248.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0GDU is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0GDU?

Key metric: As 0GDU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0GDU. This is calculated by dividing 0GDU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0GDU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio60.8x
EarningsSEK 372.08m
Market CapSEK 22.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0GDU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0GDU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.6x
GMR Gaming Realms
15.8x22.1%UK£106.1m
BCG Baltic Classifieds Group
47.1x19.9%UK£1.5b
FOUR 4imprint Group
14.9x4.6%UK£1.4b
TRST Trustpilot Group
80.7x-0.3%UK£1.1b
0GDU Paradox Interactive
60.8x41.5%SEK 22.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0GDU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.8x) compared to the peer average (39.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0GDU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Entertainment Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0GDU 60.8xIndustry Avg. 14.0xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0GDU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.8x) compared to the European Entertainment industry average (14.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0GDU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0GDU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio60.8x
Fair PE Ratio33.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0GDU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0GDU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 212.00
SEK 219.29
+3.4%
18.7%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a7
Jan ’26SEK 205.40
SEK 219.17
+6.7%
20.2%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a6
Dec ’25SEK 185.20
SEK 219.17
+18.3%
20.2%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a6
Nov ’25SEK 203.20
SEK 211.67
+4.2%
23.8%SEK 280.00SEK 140.00n/a6
Oct ’25SEK 181.70
SEK 190.00
+4.6%
23.4%SEK 240.00SEK 125.00n/a5
Sep ’25SEK 141.00
SEK 190.00
+34.8%
23.4%SEK 240.00SEK 125.00n/a5
Aug ’25SEK 151.10
SEK 191.00
+26.4%
22.5%SEK 240.00SEK 130.00n/a5
Jul ’25SEK 142.35
SEK 196.00
+37.7%
22.7%SEK 250.00SEK 130.00n/a5
Jun ’25SEK 149.40
SEK 227.50
+52.3%
19.0%SEK 270.00SEK 160.00n/a4
May ’25SEK 168.40
SEK 242.50
+44.0%
9.4%SEK 270.00SEK 220.00n/a4
Apr ’25SEK 188.19
SEK 253.75
+34.8%
9.2%SEK 280.00SEK 220.00n/a4
Mar ’25SEK 192.29
SEK 253.75
+32.0%
9.2%SEK 280.00SEK 220.00n/a4
Feb ’25SEK 199.05
SEK 255.00
+28.1%
10.6%SEK 280.00SEK 215.00n/a4
Jan ’25SEK 224.99
SEK 258.75
+15.0%
10.7%SEK 285.00SEK 215.00SEK 205.404
Dec ’24SEK 211.66
SEK 258.75
+22.2%
10.7%SEK 285.00SEK 215.00SEK 185.204
Nov ’24SEK 214.40
SEK 261.25
+21.9%
11.4%SEK 290.00SEK 215.00SEK 203.204
Oct ’24SEK 228.74
SEK 293.75
+28.4%
5.6%SEK 315.00SEK 270.00SEK 181.704
Sep ’24SEK 279.19
SEK 301.25
+7.9%
3.0%SEK 315.00SEK 290.00SEK 141.004
Aug ’24SEK 307.98
SEK 293.75
-4.6%
7.0%SEK 315.00SEK 260.00SEK 151.104
Jul ’24SEK 269.92
SEK 262.25
-2.8%
3.5%SEK 278.00SEK 255.00SEK 142.354
Jun ’24SEK 269.82
SEK 245.80
-8.9%
13.8%SEK 278.00SEK 180.00SEK 149.405
May ’24SEK 255.40
SEK 226.80
-11.2%
12.9%SEK 260.00SEK 180.00SEK 168.405
Apr ’24SEK 257.59
SEK 210.60
-18.2%
7.3%SEK 220.00SEK 180.00SEK 188.195
Mar ’24SEK 226.62
SEK 210.60
-7.1%
7.3%SEK 220.00SEK 180.00SEK 192.295
Feb ’24SEK 187.28
SEK 198.80
+6.2%
5.3%SEK 209.00SEK 180.00SEK 199.055
Jan ’24SEK 213.10
SEK 201.80
-5.3%
6.7%SEK 220.00SEK 180.00SEK 224.995
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
SEK 217.03
Fair Value
2.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 11:21
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) is covered by 10 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Aytaj KhalilliBarclays
Edward JamesBerenberg