Baltic Classifieds Group PLC

BATS-CHIXE:BCGL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.6b

Baltic Classifieds Group Valuation

Is BCGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BCGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BCGL (£3.41) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£2.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BCGL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BCGL?

Key metric: As BCGL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BCGL. This is calculated by dividing BCGL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BCGL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio61.4x
Earnings€32.05m
Market Cap€1.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BCGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BCGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.1x
TRST Trustpilot Group
87.6x-0.2%UK£1.2b
MONY MONY Group
13.7x9.5%UK£1.0b
RMV Rightmove
24.5x7.7%UK£4.9b
AUTO Auto Trader Group
26.5x8.2%UK£7.4b
BCGL Baltic Classifieds Group
61.4x19.8%UK£1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BCGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.4x) compared to the peer average (38.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BCGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Interactive Media and Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies5PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BCGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.4x) compared to the European Interactive Media and Services industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BCGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BCGL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio61.4x
Fair PE Ratio24.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BCGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BCGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.41
UK£3.00
-12.0%
13.2%UK£3.60UK£2.23n/a8
Nov ’25UK£3.18
UK£2.99
-5.8%
13.2%UK£3.59UK£2.23n/a8
Oct ’25UK£3.05
UK£2.83
-7.1%
10.0%UK£3.24UK£2.22n/a8
Sep ’25UK£2.84
UK£2.85
+0.3%
10.1%UK£3.33UK£2.28n/a8
Aug ’25UK£2.70
UK£2.79
+3.4%
10.7%UK£3.28UK£2.24n/a7
Jul ’25UK£2.42
UK£2.55
+5.5%
8.9%UK£2.94UK£2.24n/a6
Jun ’25UK£2.56
UK£2.58
+0.6%
9.3%UK£2.94UK£2.24n/a5
May ’25UK£2.39
UK£2.53
+5.9%
7.7%UK£2.83UK£2.25n/a6
Apr ’25UK£2.24
UK£2.53
+12.9%
7.7%UK£2.83UK£2.25n/a6
Mar ’25UK£2.40
UK£2.53
+5.5%
7.7%UK£2.83UK£2.25n/a6
Feb ’25UK£2.42
UK£2.59
+7.0%
6.2%UK£2.83UK£2.40n/a5
Jan ’25UK£2.37
UK£2.43
+2.9%
11.5%UK£2.86UK£1.97n/a5
Dec ’24UK£2.18
UK£2.24
+3.0%
9.8%UK£2.63UK£1.96n/a5
Nov ’24UK£2.02
UK£2.17
+7.9%
14.3%UK£2.69UK£1.75UK£3.185
Oct ’24UK£1.95
UK£2.16
+10.7%
14.1%UK£2.66UK£1.73UK£3.055
Sep ’24UK£2.15
UK£1.82
-15.1%
24.4%UK£2.21UK£1.00UK£2.845
Aug ’24UK£1.96
UK£1.81
-7.8%
24.3%UK£2.20UK£1.00UK£2.705
Jul ’24UK£1.84
UK£1.69
-8.2%
21.2%UK£2.00UK£1.00UK£2.425
Jun ’24UK£1.60
UK£1.83
+14.4%
10.3%UK£2.00UK£1.51UK£2.564
May ’24UK£1.63
UK£1.83
+12.5%
10.3%UK£2.00UK£1.51UK£2.394
Apr ’24UK£1.55
UK£1.80
+16.4%
9.2%UK£1.96UK£1.54UK£2.244
Mar ’24UK£1.63
UK£1.62
-0.6%
20.2%UK£1.93UK£1.03UK£2.405
Feb ’24UK£1.50
UK£1.62
+8.0%
20.2%UK£1.93UK£1.03UK£2.425
Jan ’24UK£1.41
UK£1.61
+14.5%
20.2%UK£1.92UK£1.03UK£2.375
Dec ’23UK£1.50
UK£1.61
+7.8%
19.0%UK£1.86UK£1.02UK£2.185
Nov ’23UK£1.37
UK£1.65
+20.3%
19.7%UK£1.96UK£1.03UK£2.025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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