Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving The Mission Group plc's (LON:TMG) Low P/S

AIM:TMG
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The Mission Group plc's (LON:TMG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Media industry in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 1.4x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Mission Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:TMG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2024

What Does Mission Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Mission Group has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Mission Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Mission Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.2% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 60% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company are not good at all, suggesting revenue should decline by 53% over the next year. With the rest of the industry predicted to shrink by 1.1%, it's a sub-optimal result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Mission Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, with revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is already weighing down the shares heavily.

What Does Mission Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Mission Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's even more precarious outlook against the industry is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Typically when industry conditions are tough, there's a real risk of company revenues sliding further, which is a concern of ours in this case. For now though, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Mission Group that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.