Stock Analysis

Victrex plc (LON:VCT) Stocks Shoot Up 25% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

LSE:VCT
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Victrex plc (LON:VCT) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, Victrex may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 54.6x, since almost half of all companies in the United Kingdom have P/E ratios under 16x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Victrex's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Victrex

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:VCT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 6th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Victrex will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Victrex's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Victrex's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 72% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 77% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 69% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Victrex's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Victrex's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Victrex's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Victrex (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.