Aperam Valuation

Is 0OLF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0OLF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0OLF (€25.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€43.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0OLF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0OLF?

Key metric: As 0OLF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0OLF. This is calculated by dividing 0OLF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0OLF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
Earnings€289.00m
Market Cap€1.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0OLF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0OLF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.8x
HILS Hill & Smith
20x11.0%UK£1.5b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUK£1.2b
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.1b
ECOR Ecora Resources
10.1x14.6%UK£157.1m
0OLF Aperam
6.4x8.5%€1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0OLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0OLF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NLMK Novolipetsk Steel
0.8xn/aUS$4.08b
EVR EVRAZ
0.4xn/aUS$1.42b
MTL Metals Exploration
0.9x-60.3%US$121.75m
TGR Tirupati Graphite
1.2xn/aUS$10.50m
No more companies available in this PE range
0OLF 6.4xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0OLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0OLF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0OLF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio14.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0OLF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0OLF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.74
€32.82
+27.5%
12.7%€42.00€27.80n/a10
Dec ’25€27.24
€32.09
+17.8%
15.7%€42.00€22.50n/a10
Nov ’25€24.86
€30.63
+23.2%
16.3%€42.00€21.40n/a10
Oct ’25€28.33
€30.76
+8.6%
16.1%€42.00€22.60n/a10
Sep ’25€25.44
€30.73
+20.8%
16.9%€42.00€22.60n/a9
Aug ’25€26.36
€30.34
+15.1%
16.9%€42.00€22.60n/a9
Jul ’25€24.66
€30.66
+24.3%
16.0%€42.00€24.00n/a9
Jun ’25€26.34
€30.54
+16.0%
15.9%€42.00€24.00n/a9
May ’25€27.72
€29.63
+6.9%
16.5%€42.00€25.00n/a9
Apr ’25€29.35
€30.73
+4.7%
16.5%€43.00€26.00n/a9
Mar ’25€27.91
€30.36
+8.8%
17.0%€43.00€25.00n/a10
Feb ’25€28.81
€30.50
+5.9%
19.0%€45.00€25.00n/a10
Jan ’25€32.98
€30.77
-6.7%
19.4%€45.00€24.70n/a10
Dec ’24€30.87
€30.00
-2.8%
21.7%€45.00€20.00€27.2410
Nov ’24€26.14
€29.00
+10.9%
23.3%€45.00€20.00€24.8610
Oct ’24€27.73
€30.28
+9.2%
23.4%€45.00€19.50€28.3311
Sep ’24€26.51
€32.84
+23.9%
22.1%€47.00€22.70€25.4411
Aug ’24€28.31
€33.48
+18.3%
21.4%€47.00€22.70€26.3611
Jul ’24€28.53
€36.26
+27.1%
18.0%€52.00€29.00€24.6611
Jun ’24€30.74
€37.79
+22.9%
18.1%€52.00€29.00€26.3410
May ’24€33.41
€38.78
+16.1%
19.6%€53.00€29.00€27.7210
Apr ’24€34.35
€39.67
+15.5%
17.9%€53.00€29.00€29.3510
Mar ’24€37.46
€39.34
+5.0%
19.0%€53.00€29.00€27.919
Feb ’24€35.99
€37.02
+2.9%
23.2%€53.00€28.00€28.819
Jan ’24€29.83
€34.60
+16.0%
25.9%€52.00€26.00€32.9810
Dec ’23€30.23
€34.11
+12.8%
26.6%€52.00€25.00€30.8710

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 12:11
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Aperam S.A. is covered by 25 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert Jan VosABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Alexandre LeroyBanco BPI, S.A.
Tom ZhangBarclays