Berry Global Group Valuation

Is 0HN1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0HN1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0HN1 ($69.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($221.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0HN1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0HN1?

Key metric: As 0HN1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0HN1. This is calculated by dividing 0HN1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0HN1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.5x
EarningsUS$516.00m
Market CapUS$8.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0HN1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0HN1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.2x
SMDS DS Smith
34.6x21.5%UK£7.8b
CRDA Croda International
29.2x15.2%UK£4.8b
MNDI Mondi
16.2x15.8%UK£5.3b
FRES Fresnillo
24.8x33.0%UK£4.8b
0HN1 Berry Global Group
15.5x5.2%US$8.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0HN1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the peer average (26.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0HN1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0HN1 15.5xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0HN1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0HN1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0HN1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.5x
Fair PE Ratio15.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0HN1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0HN1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$69.65
US$74.16
+6.5%
3.3%US$79.00US$70.00n/a11
Dec ’25US$72.35
US$74.05
+2.3%
3.3%US$79.00US$70.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$70.37
US$73.56
+4.5%
7.9%US$82.00US$64.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$67.51
US$72.38
+7.2%
6.5%US$79.00US$64.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$68.20
US$72.19
+5.9%
6.8%US$79.00US$64.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$65.49
US$71.55
+9.3%
7.4%US$79.00US$64.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$58.06
US$72.82
+25.4%
11.3%US$89.00US$62.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$59.40
US$72.82
+22.6%
11.3%US$89.00US$62.00n/a11
May ’25US$57.84
US$72.87
+26.0%
10.2%US$89.00US$62.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$60.55
US$73.69
+21.7%
10.4%US$89.00US$62.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$58.59
US$75.23
+28.4%
8.6%US$89.00US$64.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$65.74
US$77.40
+17.7%
7.3%US$89.00US$67.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$67.64
US$74.36
+9.9%
4.1%US$80.00US$67.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$66.60
US$73.43
+10.3%
5.0%US$80.00US$66.00US$72.3514
Nov ’24US$55.24
US$72.78
+31.8%
7.1%US$83.00US$64.00US$70.3714
Oct ’24n/a
US$74.28
0%
6.8%US$86.00US$65.00US$67.5114
Sep ’24US$65.36
US$74.33
+13.7%
6.5%US$86.00US$65.00US$68.2015
Aug ’24US$64.52
US$73.79
+14.4%
7.5%US$87.00US$65.00US$65.4914
Jul ’24US$64.55
US$71.93
+11.4%
4.8%US$76.00US$65.00US$58.0615
Jun ’24US$57.84
US$71.25
+23.2%
6.2%US$76.00US$60.00US$59.4016
May ’24US$55.89
US$71.20
+27.4%
6.6%US$76.00US$60.00US$57.8415
Apr ’24US$58.31
US$72.73
+24.7%
7.8%US$82.00US$60.00US$60.5515
Mar ’24US$62.81
US$72.38
+15.2%
7.9%US$82.00US$60.00US$58.5916
Feb ’24US$60.77
US$68.63
+12.9%
8.3%US$78.00US$60.00US$65.7416
Jan ’24US$60.14
US$67.82
+12.8%
11.2%US$82.00US$52.00US$67.6417
Dec ’23US$59.71
US$67.65
+13.3%
11.0%US$82.00US$52.00US$66.6017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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