LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

LSE:0EDD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$23.9b

LyondellBasell Industries Valuation

Is 0EDD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0EDD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0EDD ($73.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($190.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0EDD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0EDD?

Key metric: As 0EDD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0EDD. This is calculated by dividing 0EDD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0EDD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.1x
EarningsUS$2.15b
Market CapUS$23.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0EDD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0EDD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.8x
ANTO Antofagasta
26.2x18.3%UK£15.9b
CRDA Croda International
28.7x15.2%UK£4.7b
ZTF Zotefoams
15x20.0%UK£149.2m
SMDS DS Smith
33.1x20.9%UK£7.4b
0EDD LyondellBasell Industries
11.1x9.9%US$23.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0EDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (25.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0EDD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0EDD 11.1xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0EDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0EDD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0EDD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0EDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0EDD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$73.72
US$93.86
+27.3%
10.8%US$115.00US$81.00n/a21
Dec ’25US$83.34
US$100.77
+20.9%
8.3%US$118.21US$85.00n/a21
Nov ’25US$86.89
US$104.92
+20.8%
7.4%US$118.21US$89.00n/a22
Oct ’25US$95.87
US$105.52
+10.1%
6.7%US$118.00US$91.00n/a22
Sep ’25US$97.61
US$105.98
+8.6%
6.8%US$119.00US$91.00n/a22
Aug ’25US$97.63
US$107.16
+9.8%
7.0%US$120.00US$93.00n/a22
Jul ’25US$94.63
US$107.50
+13.6%
6.7%US$120.00US$93.00n/a22
Jun ’25US$98.71
US$107.50
+8.9%
6.7%US$120.00US$93.00n/a22
May ’25US$99.66
US$106.95
+7.3%
6.9%US$120.00US$93.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$102.48
US$103.23
+0.7%
7.6%US$118.00US$91.00n/a22
Mar ’25US$99.52
US$102.45
+2.9%
7.1%US$118.00US$91.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$94.25
US$103.05
+9.3%
6.1%US$118.00US$93.00n/a21
Jan ’25US$95.10
US$102.71
+8.0%
6.3%US$118.00US$93.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$95.78
US$103.05
+7.6%
7.1%US$118.00US$93.00US$83.3421
Nov ’24US$88.63
US$103.19
+16.4%
7.5%US$118.00US$91.00US$86.8921
Oct ’24US$95.00
US$102.68
+8.1%
9.7%US$124.00US$85.00US$95.8722
Sep ’24US$100.74
US$101.19
+0.4%
9.3%US$124.00US$85.00US$97.6123
Aug ’24US$98.12
US$100.43
+2.4%
10.9%US$124.00US$80.00US$97.6324
Jul ’24US$91.61
US$99.40
+8.5%
11.8%US$124.00US$77.00US$94.6326
Jun ’24US$86.68
US$101.14
+16.7%
11.8%US$124.00US$77.00US$98.7125
May ’24US$94.69
US$101.52
+7.2%
12.5%US$130.00US$75.00US$99.6623
Apr ’24US$93.42
US$100.29
+7.4%
13.2%US$130.00US$74.00US$102.4823
Mar ’24US$97.58
US$101.69
+4.2%
12.2%US$130.00US$75.00US$99.5224
Feb ’24US$95.76
US$92.25
-3.7%
13.4%US$116.00US$65.00US$94.2524
Jan ’24US$83.01
US$89.43
+7.7%
15.1%US$116.00US$65.00US$95.1023
Dec ’23US$84.73
US$87.65
+3.4%
15.7%US$116.00US$65.00US$95.7823

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 16:21
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is covered by 47 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Scott DavisBarclays