Outokumpu Oyj

BATS-CHIXE:OUT1VH Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.5b

Outokumpu Oyj Valuation

Is OUT1VH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OUT1VH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€8.81
Fair Value
58.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: OUT1VH (€3.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€8.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OUT1VH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OUT1VH?

Key metric: As OUT1VH is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OUT1VH. This is calculated by dividing OUT1VH's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OUT1VH's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
Sales€5.94b
Market Cap€1.52b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OUT1VH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OUT1VH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
HILS Hill & Smith
1.7x5.0%UK£1.5b
FXPO Ferrexpo
0.6x7.6%UK£411.8m
ECOR Ecora Resources
2.8x-0.1%UK£146.6m
CGS Castings
0.6x-2.8%UK£114.7m
OUT1VH Outokumpu Oyj
0.3x5.2%€1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OUT1VH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OUT1VH's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.9%
OUT1VH Outokumpu Oyj
 0.3x5.2%US$1.66b
GLEN Glencore
0.2x0.4%US$48.95b
ENPL En+ Group International
0.3x1.6%US$4.67b
No. of Companies18PS02.44.87.29.612+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.4%
OUT1VH Outokumpu Oyj
 0.3x45.5%US$1.66b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OUT1VH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (2.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OUT1VH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OUT1VH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate OUT1VH's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OUT1VH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.69
€3.46
-6.1%
15.6%€4.50€2.30n/a11
Mar ’26€3.64
€3.46
-4.8%
15.6%€4.50€2.30n/a11
Feb ’26n/a
€3.37
0%
13.7%€4.00€2.30n/a11
Jan ’26n/a
€3.59
0%
11.3%€4.20€2.90n/a11
Dec ’25n/a
€3.85
0%
11.1%€4.50€3.10n/a11
Nov ’25n/a
€3.95
0%
10.4%€4.50€3.20n/a11
Oct ’25€3.57
€4.03
+12.9%
11.5%€4.70€3.50n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
€4.03
0%
11.5%€4.70€3.50n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
€4.21
0%
11.7%€4.80€3.60n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
€4.29
0%
11.6%€5.10€3.40n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
€4.44
0%
16.4%€6.00€3.40n/a10
May ’25n/a
€4.68
0%
15.0%€6.00€3.50n/a10
Apr ’25n/a
€4.78
0%
12.6%€6.00€4.00n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
€4.69
0%
14.7%€6.00€3.60€3.6411
Feb ’25n/a
€4.65
0%
16.2%€6.00€3.60n/a11
Jan ’25n/a
€4.65
0%
17.8%€6.00€3.60n/a11
Dec ’24n/a
€4.61
0%
20.7%€6.50€3.40n/a12
Nov ’24n/a
€4.99
0%
20.6%€7.50€3.60n/a12
Oct ’24n/a
€5.50
0%
15.6%€7.50€4.30€3.5712
Sep ’24n/a
€6.02
0%
17.6%€7.50€4.40n/a12
Aug ’24€4.70
€6.28
+33.6%
18.7%€8.00€4.40n/a12
Jul ’24€5.14
€6.47
+25.9%
15.9%€8.00€4.50n/a12
Jun ’24n/a
€6.50
0%
16.3%€8.00€4.50n/a12
May ’24n/a
€6.02
0%
18.8%€7.50€4.00n/a12
Apr ’24n/a
€5.97
0%
19.3%€7.50€4.00n/a12
Mar ’24€5.51
€5.81
+5.5%
18.6%€7.50€4.00n/a12
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
€3.56
Fair Value
3.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/13 19:10
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/11 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Outokumpu Oyj is covered by 35 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Olof GrenmarkABG Sundal Collier
Philip NgothoABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Robert Jan VosABN AMRO Bank N.V.