Holcim Valuation
Is HOLNZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value
What is the Fair Price of HOLNZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
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Below Future Cash Flow Value: HOLNZ (CHF76.24) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF126.28)
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: HOLNZ is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HOLNZ?
Key metric: As HOLNZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is HOLNZ's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 108.5x |
| Earnings | CHF 389.00m |
| Market Cap | CHF 42.21b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.9x |
| PEG Ratio | 4.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does HOLNZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 45.4x | ||
RHIM RHI Magnesita | 18.9x | 26.16% | UK£1.4b |
BREE Breedon Group | 11.7x | 12.27% | UK£1.0b |
SRC SigmaRoc | 17.3x | 15.98% | UK£1.4b |
IBST Ibstock | 133.5x | 33.97% | UK£400.5m |
HOLNZ Holcim | 108.5x | 25.71% | CHF 42.2b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HOLNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (108.5x) compared to the peer average (44.4x).
Historical Price to Earnings Ratio
Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.
Fetching historical data
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does HOLNZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Basic Materials Industry?
| 0 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HOLNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (108.5x) compared to the European Basic Materials industry average (16.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is HOLNZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 108.5x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 34.4x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HOLNZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (108.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.4x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CHF 76.24 | CHF 79.22 +3.91% | 9.73% | CHF 93.00 | CHF 58.00 | n/a | 21 |
| May ’27 | CHF 72.68 | CHF 78.55 +8.08% | 9.36% | CHF 93.00 | CHF 58.00 | n/a | 21 |
| Apr ’27 | CHF 67.61 | CHF 78.39 +15.94% | 10.57% | CHF 93.00 | CHF 58.00 | n/a | 21 |
| Mar ’27 | CHF 71.12 | CHF 79.38 +11.62% | 10.99% | CHF 93.00 | CHF 58.00 | n/a | 21 |
| Feb ’27 | CHF 79.34 | CHF 79.43 +0.11% | 11.97% | CHF 93.00 | CHF 55.00 | n/a | 20 |
| Jan ’27 | CHF 77.72 | CHF 75.42 -2.96% | 11.96% | CHF 91.00 | CHF 55.00 | n/a | 20 |
| Dec ’26 | CHF 74.88 | CHF 73.20 -2.24% | 10.38% | CHF 83.50 | CHF 55.00 | n/a | 20 |
| Nov ’26 | CHF 71.38 | CHF 71.55 +0.24% | 10.35% | CHF 83.50 | CHF 55.00 | n/a | 20 |
| Oct ’26 | CHF 67.24 | CHF 68.46 +1.82% | 10.96% | CHF 81.30 | CHF 51.00 | n/a | 18 |
| Sep ’26 | CHF 66.64 | CHF 66.02 -0.93% | 9.79% | CHF 79.30 | CHF 51.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Aug ’26 | CHF 65.04 | CHF 64.63 -0.64% | 8.02% | CHF 73.00 | CHF 51.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Jul ’26 | CHF 58.44 | CHF 58.60 +0.27% | 12.55% | CHF 67.00 | CHF 48.27 | n/a | 12 |
| Jun ’26 | CHF 91.00 | CHF 98.03 +7.73% | 10.99% | CHF 120.00 | CHF 84.00 | n/a | 21 |
| May ’26 | CHF 91.22 | CHF 97.14 +6.48% | 10.65% | CHF 120.00 | CHF 84.00 | CHF 72.68 | 20 |
| Apr ’26 | CHF 95.92 | CHF 97.84 +2.00% | 11.09% | CHF 116.00 | CHF 75.00 | CHF 67.61 | 20 |
| Mar ’26 | CHF 98.74 | CHF 95.11 -3.67% | 11.41% | CHF 111.00 | CHF 72.00 | CHF 71.12 | 21 |
| Feb ’26 | CHF 91.94 | CHF 94.47 +2.75% | 11.71% | CHF 111.00 | CHF 72.00 | CHF 79.34 | 21 |
| Jan ’26 | CHF 87.36 | CHF 92.82 +6.25% | 13.43% | CHF 111.00 | CHF 62.00 | CHF 77.72 | 21 |
| Dec ’25 | CHF 89.54 | CHF 91.56 +2.26% | 13.19% | CHF 111.00 | CHF 62.00 | CHF 74.88 | 21 |
| Nov ’25 | CHF 86.44 | CHF 87.12 +0.79% | 9.70% | CHF 100.00 | CHF 62.00 | CHF 71.38 | 21 |
| Oct ’25 | CHF 82.42 | CHF 86.11 +4.47% | 10.16% | CHF 100.00 | CHF 61.00 | CHF 67.24 | 20 |
| Sep ’25 | CHF 81.84 | CHF 85.43 +4.38% | 10.45% | CHF 96.00 | CHF 61.00 | CHF 66.64 | 20 |
| Aug ’25 | CHF 82.22 | CHF 84.93 +3.29% | 10.46% | CHF 96.00 | CHF 61.00 | CHF 65.04 | 20 |
| Jul ’25 | CHF 79.98 | CHF 83.39 +4.27% | 11.57% | CHF 97.50 | CHF 61.00 | CHF 58.44 | 19 |
| Jun ’25 | CHF 78.62 | CHF 82.96 +5.52% | 11.97% | CHF 97.50 | CHF 61.00 | CHF 91.00 | 19 |
| May ’25 | CHF 77.25 | CHF 80.96 +4.80% | 12.93% | CHF 97.50 | CHF 61.00 | CHF 91.22 | 18 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/28 15:30 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/28 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Holcim AG is covered by 40 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gerhard Schwarz | Baader Helvea Equity Research |
| Patrick Appenzeller | Baader Helvea Equity Research |
| Pierre Sylvain Rousseau | Barclays |