Ferrexpo plc

BATS-CHIXE:FXPOL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£370.7m

Ferrexpo Valuation

Is FXPOL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of FXPOL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: FXPOL (£0.63) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.51)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: FXPOL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FXPOL?

Key metric: As FXPOL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FXPOL. This is calculated by dividing FXPOL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FXPOL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesUS$837.34m
Market CapUS$499.25m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FXPOL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FXPOL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
ECOR Ecora Royalties
17.9x17.54%UK£344.7m
CGS Castings
0.7x2.87%UK£117.6m
HILS Hill & Smith
2x2.69%UK£1.8b
AAZ Anglo Asian Mining
6.7x87.45%UK£331.6m
FXPOL Ferrexpo
0.6x12.54%UK£370.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FXPOL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FXPOL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Metals and Mining Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.1%
FXPOL Ferrexpo
 0.6x12.54%US$499.25m
GLEN Glencore
0.3x1.21%US$76.00b
ENPL En+ Group International
0.3x1.57%US$4.67b
No. of Companies24PS0612182430+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.3%
FXPOL Ferrexpo
 0.6x107.08%US$499.25m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FXPOL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the UK Metals and Mining industry average (3.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FXPOL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FXPOL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FXPOL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FXPOL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.63
UK£0.61
-2.60%
13.40%UK£0.69UK£0.50n/a3
Jan ’27UK£0.75
UK£0.54
-28.04%
14.65%UK£0.65UK£0.47n/a3
Dec ’26UK£0.78
UK£0.54
-30.53%
14.07%UK£0.65UK£0.48n/a3
Nov ’26UK£0.58
UK£0.55
-4.19%
13.89%UK£0.66UK£0.47n/a3
Oct ’26UK£0.54
UK£0.68
+26.25%
20.22%UK£0.86UK£0.53n/a3
Sep ’26UK£0.54
UK£0.67
+24.84%
22.89%UK£0.87UK£0.50n/a3
Aug ’26UK£0.46
UK£0.68
+46.89%
22.81%UK£0.88UK£0.50n/a3
Jul ’26UK£0.47
UK£0.75
+60.71%
9.38%UK£0.85UK£0.68n/a3
Jun ’26UK£0.54
UK£0.79
+46.49%
15.28%UK£0.96UK£0.67n/a3
May ’26UK£0.71
UK£0.79
+11.10%
15.28%UK£0.96UK£0.67n/a3
Apr ’26UK£0.56
UK£0.95
+69.74%
21.72%UK£1.20UK£0.70n/a3
Mar ’26UK£0.76
UK£1.02
+35.54%
12.54%UK£1.20UK£0.90n/a3
Feb ’26UK£1.11
UK£0.85
-23.85%
17.99%UK£1.00UK£0.64n/a3
Jan ’26UK£1.07
UK£0.85
-20.08%
20.12%UK£1.03UK£0.62UK£0.753
Dec ’25UK£0.81
UK£0.85
+4.93%
20.16%UK£1.02UK£0.62UK£0.783
Nov ’25UK£0.66
UK£0.94
+41.54%
26.46%UK£1.20UK£0.61UK£0.583
Oct ’25UK£0.44
UK£0.91
+106.19%
27.76%UK£1.20UK£0.59UK£0.543
Sep ’25UK£0.46
UK£0.92
+99.52%
27.08%UK£1.20UK£0.59UK£0.543
Aug ’25UK£0.54
UK£1.12
+106.25%
42.38%UK£1.75UK£0.61UK£0.463
Jul ’25UK£0.45
UK£1.23
+176.41%
29.89%UK£1.75UK£0.96UK£0.473
Jun ’25UK£0.42
UK£1.40
+234.09%
42.39%UK£2.24UK£0.97UK£0.543
May ’25UK£0.50
UK£1.40
+181.48%
42.39%UK£2.24UK£0.97UK£0.713
Apr ’25UK£0.44
UK£1.46
+233.37%
36.25%UK£2.20UK£0.97UK£0.563
Mar ’25UK£0.73
UK£1.35
+83.82%
42.03%UK£2.31UK£0.90UK£0.764
Feb ’25UK£0.87
UK£1.35
+53.92%
42.03%UK£2.31UK£0.90UK£1.114
Jan ’25UK£0.90
UK£1.53
+70.83%
40.35%UK£2.41UK£0.89UK£1.074
UK£0.62
Fair Value
2.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/20 10:56
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/20 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ferrexpo plc is covered by 20 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David Simon ButlerBarclays
Amos FletcherBarclays
Tony RobsonBMO Capital Markets Equity Research