Is Woodbois (LON:WBI) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Woodbois Limited (LON:WBI) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Woodbois
What Is Woodbois's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Woodbois had debt of US$10.4m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from US$44.9m over a year. However, it does have US$6.45m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$3.97m.
How Strong Is Woodbois' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Woodbois had liabilities of US$8.71m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$72.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$6.45m and US$2.49m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$72.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$116.3m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Woodbois' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Woodbois's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Woodbois had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 20%, to US$15m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Woodbois's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost US$3.3m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$10m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Woodbois has 4 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About AIM:WBI
Woodbois
Engages in the forestry, timber trading, and carbon solutions in Guernsey, Denmark, Mozambique, and the United Kingdom.
Excellent balance sheet slight.