Is James Cropper (LON:CRPR) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that James Cropper PLC (LON:CRPR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for James Cropper
How Much Debt Does James Cropper Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that James Cropper had UK£10.8m in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. But it also has UK£11.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has UK£250.0k net cash.
How Strong Is James Cropper's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, James Cropper had liabilities of UK£25.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£31.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£11.1m and UK£20.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£26.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since James Cropper has a market capitalization of UK£110.8m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, James Cropper also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Also good is that James Cropper grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine James Cropper's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. James Cropper may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, James Cropper produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 71% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing up
Although James Cropper's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of UK£250.0k. And it impressed us with free cash flow of UK£10m, being 71% of its EBIT. So we don't think James Cropper's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for James Cropper you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About AIM:CRPR
James Cropper
Manufactures and sells paper products and advanced materials.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.