Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Watching Asiamet Resources' (LON:ARS) Cash Burn Situation

AIM:ARS
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, Asiamet Resources (LON:ARS) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 112%. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Asiamet Resources shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

View our latest analysis for Asiamet Resources

Does Asiamet Resources Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at June 2020, Asiamet Resources had cash of US$2.0m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. Importantly, its cash burn was US$3.9m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 6 months from June 2020. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:ARS Debt to Equity History December 5th 2020

How Is Asiamet Resources' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Because Asiamet Resources isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. We'd venture that the 56% reduction in cash burn over the last year shows that management are, at least, mindful of its ongoing need for cash. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For Asiamet Resources To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While we're comforted by the recent reduction evident from our analysis of Asiamet Resources' cash burn, it is still worth considering how easily the company could raise more funds, if it wanted to accelerate spending to drive growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Asiamet Resources has a market capitalisation of US$109m and burnt through US$3.9m last year, which is 3.5% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

Is Asiamet Resources' Cash Burn A Worry?

On this analysis of Asiamet Resources' cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its cash runway has us a bit worried. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. On another note, Asiamet Resources has 5 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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