Stock Analysis

Admiral Group (LON:ADM) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At £1.21

LSE:ADM
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The board of Admiral Group plc (LON:ADM) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of £1.21 on the 13th of June, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the annual payment to 6.4% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

Check out our latest analysis for Admiral Group

Admiral Group's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 257% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 17.8%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 79%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.

historic-dividend
LSE:ADM Historic Dividend March 9th 2025

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of £1.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of £1.92. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.7% a year over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Admiral Group has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 8.9% per annum. The lack of cash flows does make us a bit cautious though, especially when it comes to the future of the dividend.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Admiral Group will make a great income stock. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Admiral Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:ADM

Admiral Group

A financial services company, provides insurance and personal lending products in the United Kingdom, France, Italy, Spain, and the United States.

Proven track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.