COFACE Valuation

Is 0QVK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QVK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QVK (€14.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QVK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QVK?

Key metric: As 0QVK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0QVK. This is calculated by dividing 0QVK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0QVK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.6x
Earnings€258.48m
Market Cap€2.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QVK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QVK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.6x
DLG Direct Line Insurance Group
6.7x8.0%UK£2.0b
LRE Lancashire Holdings
5.1x-7.2%UK£1.5b
HSX Hiscox
6.2x-2.4%UK£3.5b
BEZ Beazley
4.5x-17.0%UK£4.6b
0QVK COFACE
8.6x-1.3%€2.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QVK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the peer average (5.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QVK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0QVK 8.6xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies13PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QVK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QVK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QVK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.6x
Fair PE Ratio10.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QVK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QVK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.77
€16.33
+10.5%
3.4%€17.20€15.70n/a4
Nov ’25€14.91
€16.33
+9.5%
3.4%€17.20€15.70n/a4
Oct ’25€14.58
€15.18
+4.1%
11.8%€17.20€12.30n/a4
Sep ’25€14.56
€15.18
+4.3%
11.8%€17.20€12.30n/a4
Aug ’25€13.67
€15.18
+11.0%
11.8%€17.20€12.30n/a4
Jul ’25€13.33
€15.18
+13.8%
11.8%€17.20€12.30n/a4
Jun ’25€14.10
€15.18
+7.6%
11.8%€17.20€12.30n/a4
May ’25€14.45
€15.00
+3.8%
11.7%€17.20€12.30n/a4
Apr ’25€14.65
€15.00
+2.4%
11.7%€17.20€12.30n/a4
Mar ’25€13.44
€14.98
+11.4%
12.0%€17.20€12.20n/a4
Feb ’25€12.42
€14.93
+20.2%
12.6%€17.20€12.00n/a4
Jan ’25€11.87
€15.00
+26.4%
11.7%€17.20€12.30n/a4
Dec ’24€11.19
€15.00
+34.0%
11.7%€17.20€12.30n/a4
Nov ’24€11.41
€15.00
+31.5%
11.7%€17.20€12.30€14.914
Oct ’24€12.14
€14.88
+22.5%
11.9%€17.20€12.30€14.584
Sep ’24€12.42
€14.88
+19.7%
11.9%€17.20€12.30€14.564
Aug ’24€13.29
€15.30
+15.1%
8.0%€17.20€14.00€13.674
Jul ’24€12.63
€15.30
+21.1%
8.0%€17.20€14.00€13.334
Jun ’24€13.10
€15.30
+16.8%
8.0%€17.20€14.00€14.104
May ’24€13.79
€15.20
+10.2%
7.0%€16.80€14.00€14.454
Apr ’24€13.06
€15.20
+16.4%
7.0%€16.80€14.00€14.654
Mar ’24€14.01
€15.20
+8.5%
7.0%€16.80€14.00€13.444
Feb ’24€12.87
€14.75
+14.6%
8.0%€16.80€14.00€12.424
Jan ’24€12.28
€14.75
+20.2%
8.0%€16.80€14.00€11.874
Dec ’23€11.76
€14.33
+21.8%
3.2%€15.10€14.00€11.194
Nov ’23€11.30
€14.45
+27.9%
2.9%€15.10€14.00€11.414

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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