Aegon Valuation

Is 0Q0Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0Q0Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0Q0Y (€5.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0Q0Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0Q0Y?

Key metric: As 0Q0Y is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0Q0Y. This is calculated by dividing 0Q0Y's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0Q0Y's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
Sales€12.73b
Market Cap€9.69b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0Q0Y's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0Q0Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
PRU Prudential
2x21.0%UK£17.5b
PHNX Phoenix Group Holdings
0.2x-27.6%UK£5.1b
LGEN Legal & General Group
1x6.9%UK£13.0b
CSN Chesnara
0.9xn/aUK£377.5m
0Q0Y Aegon
0.8x-4.5%€9.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0Q0Y is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0Q0Y's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RQIH R&Q Insurance Holdings
0.001xn/aUS$360.20k
No more companies available in this PS range
0Q0Y 0.8xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies3PS00.61.21.82.43+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0Q0Y is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0Q0Y's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0Q0Y PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0Q0Y is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0Q0Y forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.92
€6.52
+10.0%
10.8%€8.00€5.40n/a15
Nov ’25€5.87
€6.27
+6.8%
11.5%€7.65€4.80n/a15
Oct ’25€5.68
€6.28
+10.5%
11.5%€7.65€4.80n/a15
Sep ’25€5.56
€6.26
+12.7%
11.7%€7.65€4.80n/a15
Aug ’25€5.77
€6.11
+5.9%
14.1%€7.50€4.30n/a15
Jul ’25€5.85
€6.10
+4.2%
14.4%€7.60€4.30n/a15
Jun ’25€5.96
€6.06
+1.6%
15.3%€8.00€4.30n/a14
May ’25€5.86
€5.90
+0.7%
12.0%€7.00€4.30n/a15
Apr ’25€5.65
€5.84
+3.3%
11.6%€7.00€4.30n/a15
Mar ’25€5.27
€5.88
+11.6%
11.3%€7.00€4.30n/a16
Feb ’25€5.44
€5.76
+6.0%
11.5%€7.00€4.30n/a16
Jan ’25€5.26
€5.49
+4.4%
12.0%€6.75€4.00n/a15
Dec ’24€5.07
€5.48
+8.1%
12.0%€6.75€4.00n/a15
Nov ’24€4.62
€5.38
+16.6%
13.6%€6.75€3.60€5.8715
Oct ’24€4.59
€5.45
+18.7%
13.3%€6.75€3.60€5.6814
Sep ’24€4.76
€5.39
+13.2%
13.4%€6.75€3.60€5.5615
Aug ’24€4.90
€5.38
+9.7%
14.1%€6.75€3.60€5.7714
Jul ’24€4.64
€5.39
+16.2%
13.8%€6.75€3.60€5.8515
Jun ’24€4.16
€5.33
+28.1%
15.0%€6.75€3.60€5.9614
May ’24€4.11
€5.33
+29.9%
15.1%€6.75€3.60€5.8614
Apr ’24€3.95
€5.38
+36.0%
15.5%€6.75€3.60€5.6514
Mar ’24€4.93
€5.38
+9.1%
15.5%€6.75€3.60€5.2714
Feb ’24€5.03
€5.29
+5.2%
14.7%€6.75€3.60€5.4414
Jan ’24€4.80
€5.18
+8.0%
14.8%€6.75€3.50€5.2615
Dec ’23€4.72
€5.19
+9.9%
14.8%€6.75€3.50€5.0715
Nov ’23€4.73
€5.17
+9.2%
14.6%€6.50€3.50€4.6216

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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