Sampo Oyj Valuation

Is SAMPOH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAMPOH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAMPOH (€39.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€59.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAMPOH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAMPOH?

Key metric: As SAMPOH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAMPOH. This is calculated by dividing SAMPOH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAMPOH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17x
Earnings€1.27b
Market Cap€21.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAMPOH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAMPOH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
ADM Admiral Group
18.5x12.1%UK£7.4b
BEZ Beazley
4.7x-17.9%UK£4.8b
HSX Hiscox
6.2x-2.4%UK£3.5b
DLG Direct Line Insurance Group
6.8x9.1%UK£2.1b
SAMPOH Sampo Oyj
17x6.1%€21.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAMPOH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAMPOH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies13PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAMPOH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (12.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAMPOH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAMPOH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SAMPOH's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAMPOH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€43.82
0%
7.7%€51.00€38.00n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
€43.66
0%
7.9%€51.00€38.00n/a16
Oct ’25€41.87
€42.88
+2.4%
7.0%€50.00€38.00n/a16
Sep ’25€40.37
€42.82
+6.1%
6.3%€48.00€38.00n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
€43.12
0%
7.0%€49.00€38.00n/a15
Jul ’25€39.90
€43.18
+8.2%
6.6%€49.00€39.00n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
€43.26
0%
7.1%€49.00€39.00n/a17
May ’25n/a
€43.34
0%
7.1%€50.00€38.00n/a17
Apr ’25n/a
€43.56
0%
7.3%€50.00€38.00n/a17
Mar ’25n/a
€43.51
0%
7.9%€50.00€36.00n/a17
Feb ’25n/a
€43.54
0%
8.4%€52.00€39.00n/a17
Jan ’25n/a
€44.06
0%
8.1%€50.00€39.00n/a17
Dec ’24€40.15
€43.99
+9.6%
8.0%€50.00€39.00n/a17
Nov ’24€37.35
€44.24
+18.5%
10.1%€52.00€37.00n/a17
Oct ’24n/a
€46.46
0%
8.9%€53.00€39.00€41.8716
Sep ’24n/a
€46.71
0%
8.1%€53.00€40.00€40.3716
Aug ’24€40.24
€47.58
+18.2%
10.2%€58.00€40.00n/a17
Jul ’24€41.15
€48.39
+17.6%
9.3%€58.50€40.00€39.9016
Jun ’24€43.10
€48.91
+13.5%
5.8%€53.00€45.00n/a14
May ’24€45.48
€49.47
+8.8%
7.8%€60.00€44.50n/a15
Apr ’24€42.42
€50.03
+18.0%
7.1%€60.00€45.00n/a16
Mar ’24€46.12
€50.37
+9.2%
6.8%€60.00€46.00n/a15
Feb ’24€48.21
€51.07
+5.9%
6.8%€60.00€46.00n/a15
Jan ’24n/a
€50.21
0%
7.7%€60.00€43.00n/a15
Dec ’23€48.27
€49.44
+2.4%
5.9%€54.00€43.00€40.1514
Nov ’23€46.69
€49.23
+5.4%
6.7%€54.00€43.00€37.3515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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