Spire Healthcare Group plc

LSE:SPI Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£900.5m

Spire Healthcare Group Valuation

Is SPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPI (£2.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£8.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPI?

Key metric: As SPI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPI. This is calculated by dividing SPI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.8x
EarningsUK£28.30m
Market CapUK£900.49m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.8x
CVSG CVS Group
22.8x15.5%UK£597.6m
MDC Mediclinic International
21.9x10.7%UK£3.7b
EMIS EMIS Group
40.4x11.0%UK£1.2b
CRW Craneware
82x24.3%UK£763.4m
SPI Spire Healthcare Group
31.8x26.9%UK£900.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the peer average (52.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Healthcare Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SPI 31.8xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the European Healthcare industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.8x
Fair PE Ratio33.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.24
UK£3.07
+37.5%
6.0%UK£3.40UK£2.78n/a8
Dec ’25UK£2.26
UK£3.07
+36.3%
6.0%UK£3.40UK£2.78n/a8
Nov ’25UK£2.19
UK£3.11
+42.1%
5.6%UK£3.40UK£2.78n/a8
Oct ’25UK£2.34
UK£3.08
+31.7%
8.1%UK£3.40UK£2.50n/a8
Sep ’25UK£2.54
UK£3.11
+22.2%
8.9%UK£3.44UK£2.50n/a8
Aug ’25UK£2.56
UK£3.11
+21.5%
8.9%UK£3.44UK£2.50n/a8
Jul ’25UK£2.35
UK£3.11
+32.4%
8.9%UK£3.44UK£2.50n/a8
Jun ’25UK£2.53
UK£3.11
+22.7%
8.9%UK£3.44UK£2.50n/a8
May ’25UK£2.45
UK£3.05
+24.3%
8.2%UK£3.44UK£2.50n/a8
Apr ’25UK£2.32
UK£2.99
+29.0%
8.6%UK£3.44UK£2.50n/a8
Mar ’25UK£2.33
UK£2.99
+28.5%
8.6%UK£3.44UK£2.50n/a8
Feb ’25UK£2.35
UK£2.89
+22.9%
7.5%UK£3.15UK£2.50n/a8
Jan ’25UK£2.27
UK£2.88
+27.2%
7.3%UK£3.17UK£2.50n/a8
Dec ’24UK£2.25
UK£2.88
+28.1%
7.3%UK£3.17UK£2.50UK£2.268
Nov ’24UK£2.16
UK£2.89
+34.0%
6.8%UK£3.17UK£2.50UK£2.198
Oct ’24UK£2.34
UK£2.85
+21.9%
7.2%UK£3.17UK£2.50UK£2.348
Sep ’24UK£2.17
UK£2.80
+29.1%
8.2%UK£3.17UK£2.49UK£2.548
Aug ’24UK£2.18
UK£2.80
+28.9%
8.2%UK£3.17UK£2.49UK£2.568
Jul ’24UK£2.13
UK£2.80
+31.9%
8.2%UK£3.17UK£2.49UK£2.358
Jun ’24UK£2.28
UK£2.80
+23.2%
8.2%UK£3.17UK£2.49UK£2.538
May ’24UK£2.29
UK£2.75
+20.4%
10.2%UK£3.15UK£2.30UK£2.458
Apr ’24UK£2.13
UK£2.76
+29.7%
10.9%UK£3.15UK£2.30UK£2.327
Mar ’24UK£2.39
UK£2.82
+18.0%
10.9%UK£3.15UK£2.30UK£2.337
Feb ’24UK£2.44
UK£2.82
+15.6%
10.9%UK£3.15UK£2.30UK£2.357
Jan ’24UK£2.28
UK£2.84
+24.6%
11.1%UK£3.15UK£2.30UK£2.277
Dec ’23UK£2.37
UK£2.94
+24.2%
10.6%UK£3.41UK£2.40UK£2.257

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 14:30
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Spire Healthcare Group plc is covered by 17 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sean UngererArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Hassan Al-WakeelBarclays
Blanka PorkolabBarclays