HCA Healthcare Valuation

Is 0J1R undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0J1R when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0J1R ($314.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($463.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0J1R is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0J1R?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0J1R key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0J1R's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0J1R vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.5x
MDC Mediclinic International
21.9x10.7%UK£3.7b
SPI Spire Healthcare Group
36.5x24.8%UK£997.4m
CVSG CVS Group
19.8x14.0%UK£699.3m
SN. Smith & Nephew
40x21.2%UK£8.4b
0J1R HCA Healthcare
15.8x6.4%US$83.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0J1R is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the peer average (32.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0J1R's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Healthcare Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0J1R is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the European Healthcare industry average (18.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0J1R's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0J1R PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.8x
Fair PE Ratio41.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0J1R is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0J1R forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$302.25
US$341.19
+12.9%
6.7%US$378.00US$285.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$332.90
US$337.54
+1.4%
6.1%US$378.00US$285.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$312.86
US$330.47
+5.6%
7.9%US$371.00US$250.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$311.99
US$317.21
+1.7%
10.0%US$360.00US$250.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$271.10
US$287.87
+6.2%
8.2%US$338.00US$250.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$252.27
US$281.53
+11.6%
6.2%US$315.00US$250.00n/a21
Nov ’24US$224.18
US$284.77
+27.0%
6.0%US$315.00US$254.00n/a21
Oct ’24US$245.48
US$317.24
+29.2%
6.9%US$350.00US$260.00n/a21
Sep ’24US$279.75
US$317.95
+13.7%
6.7%US$350.00US$260.00n/a22
Aug ’24US$273.21
US$317.14
+16.1%
6.9%US$350.00US$260.00n/a22
Jul ’24US$303.51
US$314.64
+3.7%
6.9%US$350.00US$260.00n/a22
Jun ’24US$268.36
US$310.95
+15.9%
6.8%US$350.00US$260.00n/a22
May ’24US$284.73
US$307.00
+7.8%
7.6%US$350.00US$260.00n/a22
Apr ’24US$261.10
US$280.91
+7.6%
6.5%US$310.00US$239.00US$332.9022
Mar ’24US$244.28
US$280.91
+15.0%
6.5%US$310.00US$239.00US$312.8622
Feb ’24US$257.30
US$277.00
+7.7%
7.0%US$310.00US$235.00US$311.9922
Jan ’24US$238.25
US$248.10
+4.1%
8.4%US$286.00US$217.00US$271.1021
Dec ’23US$241.54
US$242.41
+0.4%
6.7%US$283.00US$217.00US$252.2722
Nov ’23US$221.21
US$240.18
+8.6%
6.6%US$283.00US$215.00US$224.1822
Oct ’23US$189.05
US$238.96
+26.4%
10.6%US$283.00US$150.00US$245.4823
Sep ’23US$194.48
US$236.59
+21.7%
11.9%US$283.00US$150.00US$279.7522
Aug ’23US$211.44
US$231.79
+9.6%
13.1%US$283.00US$150.00US$273.2124
Jul ’23US$173.36
US$242.92
+40.1%
12.6%US$306.00US$150.00US$303.5124
Jun ’23US$207.39
US$250.78
+20.9%
11.4%US$306.00US$150.00US$268.3623
May ’23US$218.53
US$256.45
+17.4%
12.5%US$306.00US$150.00US$284.7322
Apr ’23US$252.40
US$279.43
+10.7%
11.6%US$310.00US$150.00US$261.1023

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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