ARYZTA AG

LSE:0MFY Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 1.5b

ARYZTA Valuation

Is 0MFY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0MFY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0MFY (CHF1.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF2.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0MFY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0MFY?

Key metric: As 0MFY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0MFY. This is calculated by dividing 0MFY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0MFY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.7x
Earnings€73.34m
Market Cap€1.59b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0MFY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0MFY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
PFD Premier Foods
15.2x6.3%UK£1.7b
GNC Greencore Group
16.4x10.7%UK£858.3m
HFG Hilton Food Group
17.4x10.5%UK£807.3m
BAKK Bakkavor Group
12.5x11.2%UK£801.0m
0MFY ARYZTA
21.7x16.9%CHF 1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0MFY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0MFY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0MFY 21.7xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies19PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0MFY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0MFY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0MFY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.7x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0MFY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0MFY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 1.49
CHF 2.18
+45.9%
8.2%CHF 2.42CHF 2.01n/a3
Nov ’25CHF 1.55
CHF 2.18
+40.9%
8.2%CHF 2.42CHF 2.01n/a3
Oct ’25CHF 1.61
CHF 2.20
+36.4%
8.2%CHF 2.45CHF 2.04n/a3
Sep ’25CHF 1.71
CHF 2.20
+28.4%
8.2%CHF 2.45CHF 2.04n/a3
Aug ’25CHF 1.68
CHF 2.31
+37.4%
14.3%CHF 2.78CHF 2.03n/a3
Jul ’25CHF 1.61
CHF 2.19
+35.7%
3.3%CHF 2.30CHF 2.10n/a4
Jun ’25CHF 1.80
CHF 2.19
+21.4%
3.3%CHF 2.30CHF 2.10n/a4
May ’25CHF 1.75
CHF 2.19
+25.3%
3.5%CHF 2.30CHF 2.10n/a4
Apr ’25CHF 1.64
CHF 2.15
+31.3%
6.1%CHF 2.31CHF 1.97n/a4
Mar ’25CHF 1.58
CHF 1.98
+26.0%
3.4%CHF 2.10CHF 1.92n/a4
Feb ’25CHF 1.57
CHF 2.11
+34.4%
10.2%CHF 2.47CHF 1.92n/a4
Jan ’25CHF 1.55
CHF 2.11
+36.4%
10.2%CHF 2.47CHF 1.92n/a4
Dec ’24CHF 1.66
CHF 2.19
+31.4%
10.4%CHF 2.51CHF 1.95n/a4
Nov ’24CHF 1.66
CHF 2.01
+21.6%
9.4%CHF 2.30CHF 1.77CHF 1.554
Oct ’24CHF 1.57
CHF 1.84
+17.3%
5.8%CHF 1.98CHF 1.70CHF 1.614
Sep ’24CHF 1.44
CHF 1.66
+15.1%
20.1%CHF 1.96CHF 1.02CHF 1.715
Aug ’24CHF 1.49
CHF 1.78
+18.8%
24.1%CHF 2.34CHF 1.04CHF 1.685
Jul ’24CHF 1.48
CHF 1.78
+19.7%
24.5%CHF 2.35CHF 1.03CHF 1.615
Jun ’24CHF 1.47
CHF 1.57
+7.0%
32.7%CHF 2.35CHF 0.98CHF 1.805
May ’24CHF 1.58
CHF 1.55
-2.4%
19.0%CHF 1.74CHF 1.04CHF 1.754
Apr ’24CHF 1.55
CHF 1.55
-0.3%
19.0%CHF 1.74CHF 1.04CHF 1.644
Mar ’24CHF 1.29
CHF 1.27
-1.8%
20.6%CHF 1.51CHF 0.88CHF 1.584
Feb ’24CHF 1.26
CHF 1.27
+1.2%
20.0%CHF 1.51CHF 0.90CHF 1.574
Jan ’24CHF 1.10
CHF 1.20
+9.1%
18.1%CHF 1.50CHF 0.89CHF 1.554
Dec ’23CHF 1.17
CHF 1.20
+2.8%
18.1%CHF 1.50CHF 0.89CHF 1.664
Nov ’23CHF 1.05
CHF 1.19
+13.2%
18.4%CHF 1.49CHF 0.88CHF 1.664

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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