Grieg Seafood ASA

BATS-CHIXE:GSFO Stock Report

Market Cap: NOK 7.3b

Grieg Seafood Valuation

Is GSFO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GSFO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GSFO (NOK67) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK1168.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GSFO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GSFO?

Key metric: As GSFO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GSFO. This is calculated by dividing GSFO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GSFO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesNOK 6.92b
Market CapNOK 7.27b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GSFO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GSFO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
HOTC Hotel Chocolat Group
2.6x5.4%UK£526.6m
GNC Greencore Group
0.5x1.8%UK£869.7m
MHPC MHP
0.2xn/aUS$460.3m
BAKK Bakkavor Group
0.3x1.9%UK£751.9m
GSFO Grieg Seafood
1x12.0%NOK 7.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GSFO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GSFO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Food Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MHPC MHP
0.2xn/aUS$460.26m
WYN Wynnstay Group
0.1x-3.5%US$89.67m
RGD Real Good Food
0.04xn/aUS$1.84m
UKR Ukrproduct Group
0.03xn/aUS$1.12m
No. of Companies5PS00.81.62.43.24+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GSFO is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the UK Food industry average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GSFO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GSFO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GSFO's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GSFO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
NOK 62.63
0%
17.5%NOK 71.00NOK 42.00n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
NOK 61.83
0%
19.0%NOK 71.00NOK 42.00n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
NOK 61.50
0%
20.7%NOK 79.00NOK 42.00n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
NOK 63.00
0%
18.5%NOK 79.00NOK 42.00n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
NOK 75.00
0%
18.2%NOK 90.00NOK 55.00n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
NOK 75.33
0%
17.6%NOK 90.00NOK 55.00n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
NOK 75.67
0%
14.4%NOK 90.00NOK 55.00n/a6
May ’25n/a
NOK 71.83
0%
11.2%NOK 80.00NOK 55.00n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
NOK 72.67
0%
11.8%NOK 80.00NOK 55.00n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
NOK 71.17
0%
13.6%NOK 80.00NOK 55.00n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
NOK 75.50
0%
12.4%NOK 85.00NOK 61.00n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
NOK 77.80
0%
8.3%NOK 85.00NOK 66.00n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
NOK 77.36
0%
9.1%NOK 85.00NOK 66.00n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
NOK 87.25
0%
3.2%NOK 90.00NOK 83.50n/a6
Oct ’24n/a
NOK 89.64
0%
4.8%NOK 96.20NOK 85.00n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
NOK 89.64
0%
4.8%NOK 96.20NOK 85.00n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
NOK 100.20
0%
5.5%NOK 105.00NOK 90.00n/a5
Jul ’24n/a
NOK 97.33
0%
8.4%NOK 105.00NOK 83.00n/a6
Jun ’24NOK 86.00
NOK 98.00
+14.0%
7.8%NOK 105.00NOK 83.00n/a6
May ’24NOK 86.18
NOK 90.95
+5.5%
6.9%NOK 100.00NOK 83.00n/a6
Apr ’24n/a
NOK 87.95
0%
7.4%NOK 100.00NOK 80.00n/a6
Mar ’24n/a
NOK 87.45
0%
7.3%NOK 100.00NOK 80.00n/a6
Feb ’24n/a
NOK 91.83
0%
12.5%NOK 115.00NOK 81.00n/a6
Jan ’24n/a
NOK 83.67
0%
7.0%NOK 90.00NOK 73.00n/a6
Dec ’23NOK 69.90
NOK 82.83
+18.5%
7.8%NOK 90.00NOK 73.00n/a6
Nov ’23NOK 72.65
NOK 91.00
+25.3%
13.1%NOK 110.00NOK 79.00n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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