Associated British Foods plc

BATS-CHIXE:ABFL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£15.0b

Associated British Foods Valuation

Is ABFL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABFL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABFL (£20.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£28.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABFL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABFL?

Key metric: As ABFL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ABFL. This is calculated by dividing ABFL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ABFL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.3x
EarningsUK£1.46b
Market CapUK£15.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABFL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABFL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
CWK Cranswick
22.8x8.2%UK£2.6b
TATE Tate & Lyle
18.7x15.1%UK£2.9b
PFD Premier Foods
14.8x6.5%UK£1.6b
GNC Greencore Group
18.1x9.4%UK£840.0m
ABFL Associated British Foods
10.2x5.8%UK£14.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABFL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABFL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies20PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABFL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABFL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABFL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.3x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABFL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABFL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£20.56
UK£25.68
+24.9%
10.7%UK£31.20UK£19.79n/a17
Dec ’25UK£21.95
UK£25.84
+17.7%
11.8%UK£31.20UK£19.79n/a17
Nov ’25UK£22.77
UK£25.80
+13.3%
12.0%UK£31.20UK£19.79n/a17
Oct ’25UK£23.22
UK£25.66
+10.5%
11.9%UK£31.20UK£19.79n/a18
Sep ’25UK£24.89
UK£26.67
+7.1%
12.6%UK£34.00UK£19.79n/a18
Aug ’25UK£24.81
UK£26.86
+8.3%
12.3%UK£34.00UK£19.79n/a18
Jul ’25UK£24.87
UK£26.86
+8.0%
12.3%UK£34.00UK£19.79n/a18
Jun ’25UK£25.47
UK£26.83
+5.3%
12.2%UK£34.00UK£19.79n/a18
May ’25UK£26.36
UK£26.33
-0.1%
13.3%UK£34.00UK£19.79n/a18
Apr ’25UK£25.02
UK£24.51
-2.0%
13.4%UK£32.00UK£19.79n/a19
Mar ’25UK£22.77
UK£24.56
+7.9%
13.1%UK£32.00UK£19.79n/a20
Feb ’25UK£22.79
UK£24.42
+7.2%
13.3%UK£32.00UK£19.79n/a20
Jan ’25UK£23.63
UK£23.69
+0.3%
13.5%UK£31.00UK£17.50UK£20.5220
Dec ’24UK£23.87
UK£23.62
-1.0%
13.0%UK£30.00UK£17.50UK£21.9520
Nov ’24UK£20.72
UK£22.57
+9.0%
10.2%UK£28.00UK£17.50UK£22.7720
Oct ’24UK£20.76
UK£22.55
+8.6%
10.3%UK£28.00UK£17.50UK£23.2220
Sep ’24UK£19.86
UK£21.63
+8.9%
11.4%UK£25.00UK£16.00UK£24.8920
Aug ’24UK£20.41
UK£21.58
+5.7%
11.6%UK£25.00UK£16.00UK£24.8120
Jul ’24UK£19.95
UK£21.53
+7.9%
11.4%UK£25.00UK£16.00UK£24.8720
Jun ’24UK£18.31
UK£20.98
+14.6%
12.3%UK£25.30UK£14.50UK£25.4718
May ’24UK£19.56
UK£20.92
+7.0%
12.2%UK£25.30UK£14.50UK£26.3618
Apr ’24UK£19.41
UK£20.85
+7.4%
12.5%UK£25.30UK£14.50UK£25.0218
Mar ’24UK£20.13
UK£20.75
+3.1%
13.2%UK£25.30UK£14.50UK£22.7717
Feb ’24UK£18.73
UK£18.73
-0.03%
16.6%UK£24.40UK£11.75UK£22.7917
Jan ’24UK£15.78
UK£16.50
+4.6%
15.2%UK£22.00UK£11.75UK£23.6318

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 23:35
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/09/14
Annual Earnings2024/09/14

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Associated British Foods plc is covered by 44 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rebecca McClellanBanco Santander
Alexandra OldroydBarclays
Nicolas CeronBarclays