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Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On Diversified Energy Company PLC (LON:DEC)
There wouldn't be many who think Diversified Energy Company PLC's (LON:DEC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Oil and Gas industry in the United Kingdom is similar at about 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for Diversified Energy
What Does Diversified Energy's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Diversified Energy has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to begin matching the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S from declining. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Diversified Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Diversified Energy would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 56% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 97% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.4% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 0.2% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's curious that Diversified Energy's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What Does Diversified Energy's P/S Mean For Investors?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Diversified Energy currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Diversified Energy (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About LSE:DEC
Diversified Energy
Operates as an independent owner and operator of producing natural gas and oil wells primarily in the Appalachian Basin of the United States.
Average dividend payer slight.