Saipem Valuation

Is 0RPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0RPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0RPI (€2.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0RPI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0RPI?

Key metric: As 0RPI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0RPI. This is calculated by dividing 0RPI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0RPI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.1x
Earnings€307.00m
Market Cap€4.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0RPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0RPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
HTG Hunting
4.7x-7.9%UK£498.2m
GMS Gulf Marine Services
5.9xn/aUK£187.8m
HBR Harbour Energy
46.8x14.4%UK£3.6b
ITH Ithaca Energy
12.8x-9.3%UK£1.6b
0RPI Saipem
15.1x25.1%€4.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0RPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0RPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Energy Services Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0RPI 15.1xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0RPI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the European Energy Services industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0RPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0RPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ratio20x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0RPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0RPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.35
€3.06
+30.0%
12.1%€3.50€2.20n/a16
Nov ’25€2.22
€2.97
+33.5%
11.0%€3.40€2.20n/a17
Oct ’25€2.00
€2.89
+44.3%
11.6%€3.40€2.10n/a17
Sep ’25€2.04
€2.87
+40.3%
12.0%€3.40€2.10n/a18
Aug ’25€2.18
€2.88
+32.1%
11.7%€3.40€2.10n/a19
Jul ’25€2.40
€2.81
+17.2%
12.7%€3.20€2.00n/a18
Jun ’25€2.29
€2.74
+19.8%
14.3%€3.20€2.00n/a18
May ’25€2.17
€2.74
+26.4%
14.3%€3.20€2.00n/a18
Apr ’25€2.26
€2.60
+14.8%
16.4%€3.14€1.65n/a17
Mar ’25€1.80
€2.32
+29.2%
15.0%€3.00€1.65n/a17
Feb ’25€1.35
€2.23
+64.9%
17.6%€3.00€1.40n/a16
Jan ’25€1.47
€2.24
+52.2%
17.3%€3.00€1.40n/a16
Dec ’24€1.51
€2.24
+48.4%
17.3%€3.00€1.40n/a16
Nov ’24€1.45
€2.23
+54.0%
17.2%€3.00€1.40€2.2216
Oct ’24€1.45
€2.14
+48.2%
18.1%€2.90€1.40€2.0013
Sep ’24€1.50
€2.14
+42.4%
19.0%€2.90€1.40€2.0412
Aug ’24€1.45
€1.99
+36.9%
19.5%€2.57€1.23€2.1814
Jul ’24€1.28
€1.93
+50.9%
18.7%€2.50€1.23€2.4013
Jun ’24€1.21
€1.93
+59.4%
18.7%€2.50€1.23€2.2913
May ’24€1.36
€1.94
+43.1%
18.0%€2.50€1.23€2.1714
Apr ’24€1.37
€1.81
+31.9%
16.9%€2.20€1.23€2.2614
Mar ’24€1.55
€2.03
+30.7%
45.8%€5.20€1.23€1.8014
Feb ’24€1.40
€1.89
+35.0%
51.0%€5.20€1.23€1.3514
Jan ’24€1.13
€1.65
+45.8%
63.7%€5.20€0.70€1.4714
Dec ’23€1.03
€1.65
+61.0%
63.7%€5.20€0.70€1.5114
Nov ’23€0.99
€5.13
+418.3%
219.4%€40.48€0.70€1.4511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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