Petrofac Limited

BATS-CHIXE:PFCL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£63.2m

Petrofac Valuation

Is PFCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PFCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PFCL (£0.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£4.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PFCL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PFCL?

Key metric: As PFCL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PFCL. This is calculated by dividing PFCL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PFCL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.03x
SalesUS$2.51b
Market CapUS$79.24m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PFCL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PFCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
GMS Gulf Marine Services
1.4x5.3%UK£178.7m
PRES Pressure Technologies
0.4x11.7%UK£13.7m
WG. John Wood Group
0.08x3.3%UK£378.5m
TGP Tekmar Group
0.2xn/aUK£9.8m
PFCL Petrofac
0.03x26.2%UK£63.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PFCL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PFCL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Energy Services Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.4%
PFCL Petrofac
0.03x26.2%US$79.24m
No. of Companies11PS00.61.21.82.43+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a39.0%
PFCL Petrofac
0.03x130.6%US$79.24m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PFCL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the European Energy Services industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PFCL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PFCL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.03x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PFCL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PFCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.12
UK£0.45
+265.1%
70.5%UK£0.90UK£0.20n/a3
Nov ’25UK£0.13
UK£0.45
+261.0%
70.5%UK£0.90UK£0.20n/a3
Oct ’25UK£0.14
UK£0.45
+212.0%
71.9%UK£0.90UK£0.19n/a3
Sep ’25UK£0.15
UK£0.45
+199.6%
69.9%UK£0.90UK£0.20n/a3
Aug ’25UK£0.15
UK£0.45
+194.1%
69.9%UK£0.90UK£0.20n/a3
Jul ’25UK£0.13
UK£0.63
+383.9%
52.9%UK£1.00UK£0.20n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
UK£0.50
0%
70.0%UK£1.00UK£0.098n/a7
May ’25UK£0.10
UK£0.50
+387.0%
67.4%UK£1.02UK£0.10n/a8
Apr ’25UK£0.28
UK£0.59
+115.1%
53.4%UK£1.01UK£0.20n/a8
Mar ’25UK£0.26
UK£0.58
+129.3%
53.3%UK£0.99UK£0.20n/a8
Feb ’25UK£0.30
UK£0.58
+96.5%
53.3%UK£0.98UK£0.20n/a8
Jan ’25UK£0.37
UK£0.58
+57.0%
53.2%UK£0.98UK£0.20n/a8
Dec ’24UK£0.17
UK£0.86
+416.6%
10.2%UK£1.03UK£0.75n/a9
Nov ’24UK£0.48
UK£0.92
+91.0%
10.7%UK£1.08UK£0.79UK£0.1310
Oct ’24UK£0.77
UK£0.90
+17.4%
11.8%UK£1.06UK£0.76UK£0.149
Sep ’24UK£0.73
UK£0.88
+20.6%
14.2%UK£1.05UK£0.70UK£0.159
Aug ’24UK£0.79
UK£0.88
+11.2%
14.5%UK£1.04UK£0.70UK£0.159
Jul ’24UK£0.79
UK£0.99
+26.6%
38.4%UK£2.00UK£0.71UK£0.139
Jun ’24UK£0.70
UK£1.01
+42.6%
38.0%UK£2.01UK£0.69n/a9
May ’24UK£0.71
UK£1.15
+61.0%
39.6%UK£1.99UK£0.70UK£0.1010
Apr ’24UK£0.78
UK£1.26
+60.4%
35.1%UK£2.01UK£0.73UK£0.2810
Mar ’24UK£0.79
UK£1.29
+62.5%
35.6%UK£2.07UK£0.76UK£0.2610
Feb ’24UK£0.84
UK£1.38
+64.8%
34.9%UK£2.00UK£0.73UK£0.309
Jan ’24UK£0.71
UK£1.49
+111.0%
29.7%UK£2.06UK£0.76UK£0.379
Dec ’23UK£0.81
UK£1.65
+103.3%
17.7%UK£2.04UK£1.19UK£0.179
Nov ’23UK£1.13
UK£1.70
+50.5%
17.6%UK£2.09UK£1.22UK£0.489

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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