Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Serinus Energy plc's (LON:SENX) Muted Revenues

Published
AIM:SENX

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Serinus Energy plc (LON:SENX) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Oil and Gas companies in the United Kingdom have P/S ratios greater than 1.2x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Serinus Energy

AIM:SENX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024

How Serinus Energy Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Serinus Energy over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Serinus Energy will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Serinus Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Serinus Energy would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 57%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 26% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 1.1% in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum is still inferior based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Serinus Energy's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, with revenue going quickly in reverse, it's not guaranteed that the P/S has found a floor yet. Even just maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares heavily.

What We Can Learn From Serinus Energy's P/S?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's clear that Serinus Energy trades at a low P/S relative to the wider industry on the weakness of its recent three-year revenue being even worse than the forecasts for a struggling industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. However, we're still cautious about the company's ability to prevent an acceleration of its recent medium-term course and resist even greater pain to its business from the broader industry turmoil. For now though, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Serinus Energy (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.