Rockhopper Exploration plc

AIM:RKH Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£131.1m

Rockhopper Exploration Valuation

Is RKH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RKH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RKH (£0.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RKH is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RKH?

Key metric: As RKH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RKH. This is calculated by dividing RKH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RKH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsUS$14.56m
Market CapUS$164.79m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RKH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RKH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
ENW Enwell Energy
3.3xn/aUK£69.3m
ENQ EnQuest
12.7x-2.2%UK£209.9m
CASP Caspian Sunrise
16.1xn/aUK£72.2m
TLW Tullow Oil
22.1x28.4%UK£286.4m
RKH Rockhopper Exploration
11.3x-81.6%UK£131.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RKH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RKH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
No more companies available in this PE range
RKH 11.3xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RKH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RKH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RKH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio2.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RKH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RKH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.20
UK£0.40
+93.5%
24.6%UK£0.53UK£0.30n/a3
Dec ’25UK£0.19
UK£0.40
+109.9%
24.6%UK£0.53UK£0.30n/a3
Nov ’25UK£0.13
UK£0.33
+149.1%
9.1%UK£0.36UK£0.30n/a2
Oct ’25UK£0.14
UK£0.34
+131.0%
10.4%UK£0.37UK£0.30n/a2
Sep ’25UK£0.15
UK£0.30
+106.3%
17.5%UK£0.37UK£0.24n/a3
Aug ’25UK£0.15
UK£0.30
+101.5%
17.5%UK£0.37UK£0.24n/a3
Jul ’25UK£0.14
UK£0.30
+121.4%
17.5%UK£0.37UK£0.24n/a3
Jun ’25UK£0.14
UK£0.30
+111.3%
19.1%UK£0.37UK£0.23n/a3
May ’25UK£0.13
UK£0.30
+126.4%
19.1%UK£0.37UK£0.23n/a3
Apr ’25UK£0.13
UK£0.29
+126.1%
15.7%UK£0.34UK£0.23n/a3
Mar ’25UK£0.12
UK£0.29
+145.8%
15.7%UK£0.34UK£0.23n/a3
Feb ’25UK£0.11
UK£0.29
+158.9%
15.7%UK£0.34UK£0.23n/a3
Jan ’25UK£0.11
UK£0.29
+161.9%
25.8%UK£0.38UK£0.20n/a3
Dec ’24UK£0.12
UK£0.30
+157.0%
21.8%UK£0.38UK£0.22UK£0.193
Nov ’24UK£0.13
UK£0.30
+132.6%
21.8%UK£0.38UK£0.22UK£0.133
Oct ’24UK£0.13
UK£0.30
+122.2%
20.7%UK£0.37UK£0.22UK£0.143
Sep ’24UK£0.12
UK£0.30
+155.7%
20.7%UK£0.37UK£0.22UK£0.153
Aug ’24UK£0.12
UK£0.30
+142.7%
20.7%UK£0.37UK£0.22UK£0.153
Jul ’24UK£0.13
UK£0.30
+128.2%
20.7%UK£0.37UK£0.22UK£0.143
Jun ’24UK£0.14
UK£0.30
+109.7%
20.7%UK£0.37UK£0.22UK£0.143
May ’24UK£0.12
UK£0.30
+139.0%
17.8%UK£0.37UK£0.22UK£0.134
Apr ’24UK£0.10
UK£0.30
+183.5%
31.8%UK£0.40UK£0.14UK£0.134
Mar ’24UK£0.097
UK£0.30
+206.7%
31.8%UK£0.40UK£0.14UK£0.124
Feb ’24UK£0.092
UK£0.30
+220.6%
31.8%UK£0.40UK£0.14UK£0.114
Jan ’24UK£0.09
UK£0.31
+240.3%
32.8%UK£0.40UK£0.14UK£0.114
Dec ’23UK£0.097
UK£0.31
+216.0%
32.8%UK£0.40UK£0.14UK£0.124

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 10:49
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Rockhopper Exploration plc is covered by 21 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel SlaterArden Partners Plc.
Alessandro PozziBarclays
David RoundBMO Capital Markets Equity Research