The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that i3 Energy Plc (LON:I3E) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for i3 Energy
What Is i3 Energy's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, i3 Energy had UK£27.2m of debt, up from UK£23.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have UK£16.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UK£10.7m.
A Look At i3 Energy's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, i3 Energy had liabilities of UK£86.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£101.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£16.6m as well as receivables valued at UK£32.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£139.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of UK£161.8m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
i3 Energy has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.093 and EBIT of 14.2 times the interest expense. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Even more impressive was the fact that i3 Energy grew its EBIT by 560% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if i3 Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last two years, i3 Energy's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
i3 Energy's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Considering this range of data points, we think i3 Energy is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for i3 Energy you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:I3E
i3 Energy
A holding company, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of oil and gas assets in the United Kingdom and Canada.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.