Stock Analysis

Would Shareholders Who Purchased Caspian Sunrise's (LON:CASP) Stock Three Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

AIM:CASP
Source: Shutterstock

Caspian Sunrise plc (LON:CASP) shareholders are doubtless heartened to see the share price bounce 37% in just one week. But that is meagre solace in the face of the shocking decline over three years. In that time the share price has melted like a snowball in the desert, down 79%. Arguably, the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Of course the real question is whether the business can sustain a turnaround.

View our latest analysis for Caspian Sunrise

Because Caspian Sunrise made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over three years, Caspian Sunrise grew revenue at 28% per year. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. So why has the share priced crashed 21% per year, in the same time? You'd want to take a close look at the balance sheet, as well as the losses. Ultimately, revenue growth doesn't amount to much if the business can't scale well. If the company is low on cash, it may have to raise capital soon.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:CASP Earnings and Revenue Growth December 31st 2020

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Caspian Sunrise's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Caspian Sunrise shareholders are down 71% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.3%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Caspian Sunrise better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Caspian Sunrise that you should be aware of.

Of course Caspian Sunrise may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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