HAL Trust Valuation

Is HALA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HALA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HALA (€113.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€193.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HALA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HALA?

Key metric: As HALA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HALA. This is calculated by dividing HALA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HALA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.3x
Earnings€1.00b
Market Cap€10.32b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HALA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HALA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
WISE Wise
19.8x-7.9%UK£8.5b
KSPI Kaspi.kz
12.2x17.0%US$22.8b
HL. Hargreaves Lansdown
17.6x1.6%UK£5.2b
ICG Intermediate Capital Group
14.5x11.4%UK£5.8b
HALA HAL Trust
10.3x-0.5%€10.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HALA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (16x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HALA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Diversified Financial Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NBS Nationwide Building Society
0.9xn/aUS$1.52b
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies3PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HALA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the UK Diversified Financial industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HALA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HALA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HALA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HALA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€113.10
€146.67
+29.7%
6.1%€158.00€136.00n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
€146.67
0%
6.1%€158.00€136.00n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
€146.67
0%
6.1%€158.00€136.00n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
€146.67
0%
6.1%€158.00€136.00n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
€141.33
0%
9.5%€158.00€125.00n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
€141.33
0%
9.5%€158.00€125.00n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
€141.33
0%
9.5%€158.00€125.00n/a3
May ’25n/a
€140.67
0%
10.2%€158.00€123.00n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
€140.67
0%
10.2%€158.00€123.00n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
€139.00
0%
13.8%€163.00€116.00n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
€138.33
0%
14.5%€163.00€114.00n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
€138.33
0%
14.5%€163.00€114.00n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
€138.33
0%
14.5%€163.00€114.00n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
€137.33
0%
15.5%€163.00€111.00n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
€137.33
0%
15.5%€163.00€111.00n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
€137.33
0%
15.5%€163.00€111.00n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
€135.50
0%
18.1%€160.00€111.00n/a2
Jul ’24n/a
€141.76
0%
12.9%€160.00€123.53n/a2
Jun ’24n/a
€140.20
0%
11.9%€156.86€123.53n/a2
Nov ’23n/a
€137.75
0%
6.8%€147.06€128.43n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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