AJ Bell plc

BATS-CHIXE:AJBL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.9b

AJ Bell Valuation

Is AJBL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AJBL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AJBL (£4.67) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£4.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AJBL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AJBL?

Key metric: As AJBL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AJBL. This is calculated by dividing AJBL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AJBL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.8x
EarningsUK£81.33m
Market CapUK£1.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AJBL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AJBL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.3x
TCAP TP ICAP Group
19.8x21.5%UK£2.0b
PLUS Plus500
8.4x-0.09%UK£1.8b
IGG IG Group Holdings
10.8x6.0%UK£3.3b
ALPH Alpha Group International
10.2x6.3%UK£962.4m
AJBL AJ Bell
23.8x8.1%UK£1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AJBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the peer average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AJBL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.2xn/aUS$34.29m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.4xn/aUS$5.78m
MAFL Mineral & Financial Investments
2xn/aUS$5.00m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies19PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AJBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AJBL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AJBL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.8x
Fair PE Ratio16.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AJBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AJBL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£4.67
UK£4.65
-0.4%
13.4%UK£5.90UK£3.41n/a14
Nov ’25UK£4.48
UK£4.58
+2.2%
13.9%UK£5.90UK£3.16n/a14
Oct ’25UK£4.47
UK£4.36
-2.3%
11.2%UK£5.00UK£3.16n/a14
Sep ’25UK£4.34
UK£4.36
+0.5%
11.2%UK£5.00UK£3.16n/a14
Aug ’25UK£4.55
UK£4.32
-5.0%
12.8%UK£5.00UK£2.84n/a14
Jul ’25UK£3.83
UK£3.88
+1.4%
13.5%UK£4.60UK£2.84n/a14
Jun ’25UK£3.83
UK£3.94
+3.0%
14.3%UK£4.88UK£2.84n/a15
May ’25UK£3.34
UK£3.69
+10.4%
16.1%UK£4.88UK£2.75n/a14
Apr ’25UK£3.04
UK£3.59
+18.1%
16.6%UK£4.88UK£2.65n/a14
Mar ’25UK£3.09
UK£3.59
+16.2%
16.6%UK£4.88UK£2.65n/a14
Feb ’25UK£3.20
UK£3.58
+11.8%
17.1%UK£4.88UK£2.65n/a14
Jan ’25UK£3.15
UK£3.50
+11.1%
20.3%UK£4.88UK£2.40n/a14
Dec ’24UK£2.53
UK£3.42
+35.6%
19.9%UK£4.88UK£2.40n/a14
Nov ’24UK£2.63
UK£3.67
+39.5%
17.9%UK£4.88UK£2.75UK£4.4813
Oct ’24UK£2.75
UK£3.89
+41.2%
16.0%UK£5.25UK£2.75UK£4.4713
Sep ’24UK£2.87
UK£3.99
+39.2%
13.5%UK£5.25UK£3.40UK£4.3412
Aug ’24UK£3.21
UK£3.99
+24.2%
13.5%UK£5.25UK£3.40UK£4.5512
Jul ’24UK£3.21
UK£4.05
+26.3%
13.2%UK£5.25UK£3.40UK£3.8312
Jun ’24UK£3.24
UK£4.03
+24.5%
14.2%UK£5.25UK£3.10UK£3.8312
May ’24UK£3.26
UK£4.13
+26.5%
14.4%UK£5.25UK£3.00UK£3.3411
Apr ’24UK£3.45
UK£4.09
+18.5%
13.8%UK£5.00UK£3.00UK£3.0411
Mar ’24UK£3.26
UK£4.01
+23.0%
15.1%UK£5.00UK£3.00UK£3.0912
Feb ’24UK£3.38
UK£4.01
+18.8%
15.8%UK£5.00UK£3.00UK£3.2011
Jan ’24UK£3.60
UK£3.92
+8.9%
16.8%UK£4.90UK£2.80UK£3.1511
Dec ’23UK£3.59
UK£3.63
+1.1%
18.3%UK£4.90UK£2.80UK£2.5311
Nov ’23UK£3.35
UK£3.60
+7.5%
18.6%UK£4.90UK£2.80UK£2.6311

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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