AJ Bell plc

BATS-CHIXE:AJBL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.9b

AJ Bell Valuation

Is AJBL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AJBL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AJBL (£4.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AJBL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AJBL?

Key metric: As AJBL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AJBL. This is calculated by dividing AJBL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AJBL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.2x
EarningsUK£84.30m
Market CapUK£1.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AJBL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AJBL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.5x
TCAP TP ICAP Group
19.8x20.5%UK£2.0b
PLUS Plus500
8.9x-0.09%UK£1.9b
IGG IG Group Holdings
11.4x6.2%UK£3.5b
ALPH Alpha Group International
9.9x6.3%UK£934.9m
AJBL AJ Bell
22.2x9.6%UK£1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AJBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the peer average (12.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AJBL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.3xn/aUS$35.96m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.5xn/aUS$6.41m
MAFL Mineral & Financial Investments
2.4xn/aUS$5.94m
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies15PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AJBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (11.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AJBL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AJBL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.2x
Fair PE Ratio16.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AJBL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AJBL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£4.54
UK£4.78
+5.3%
13.8%UK£5.90UK£3.41n/a14
Dec ’25UK£4.73
UK£4.65
-1.8%
13.4%UK£5.90UK£3.41n/a14
Nov ’25UK£4.48
UK£4.58
+2.2%
13.9%UK£5.90UK£3.16n/a14
Oct ’25UK£4.47
UK£4.36
-2.3%
11.2%UK£5.00UK£3.16n/a14
Sep ’25UK£4.34
UK£4.36
+0.5%
11.2%UK£5.00UK£3.16n/a14
Aug ’25UK£4.55
UK£4.32
-5.0%
12.8%UK£5.00UK£2.84n/a14
Jul ’25UK£3.83
UK£3.88
+1.4%
13.5%UK£4.60UK£2.84n/a14
Jun ’25UK£3.83
UK£3.94
+3.0%
14.3%UK£4.88UK£2.84n/a15
May ’25UK£3.34
UK£3.69
+10.4%
16.1%UK£4.88UK£2.75n/a14
Apr ’25UK£3.04
UK£3.59
+18.1%
16.6%UK£4.88UK£2.65n/a14
Mar ’25UK£3.09
UK£3.59
+16.2%
16.6%UK£4.88UK£2.65n/a14
Feb ’25UK£3.20
UK£3.58
+11.8%
17.1%UK£4.88UK£2.65n/a14
Jan ’25UK£3.15
UK£3.50
+11.1%
20.3%UK£4.88UK£2.40n/a14
Dec ’24UK£2.53
UK£3.42
+35.6%
19.9%UK£4.88UK£2.40UK£4.7314
Nov ’24UK£2.63
UK£3.67
+39.5%
17.9%UK£4.88UK£2.75UK£4.4813
Oct ’24UK£2.75
UK£3.89
+41.2%
16.0%UK£5.25UK£2.75UK£4.4713
Sep ’24UK£2.87
UK£3.99
+39.2%
13.5%UK£5.25UK£3.40UK£4.3412
Aug ’24UK£3.21
UK£3.99
+24.2%
13.5%UK£5.25UK£3.40UK£4.5512
Jul ’24UK£3.21
UK£4.05
+26.3%
13.2%UK£5.25UK£3.40UK£3.8312
Jun ’24UK£3.24
UK£4.03
+24.5%
14.2%UK£5.25UK£3.10UK£3.8312
May ’24UK£3.26
UK£4.13
+26.5%
14.4%UK£5.25UK£3.00UK£3.3411
Apr ’24UK£3.45
UK£4.09
+18.5%
13.8%UK£5.00UK£3.00UK£3.0411
Mar ’24UK£3.26
UK£4.01
+23.0%
15.1%UK£5.00UK£3.00UK£3.0912
Feb ’24UK£3.38
UK£4.01
+18.8%
15.8%UK£5.00UK£3.00UK£3.2011
Jan ’24UK£3.60
UK£3.92
+8.9%
16.8%UK£4.90UK£2.80UK£3.1511
Dec ’23UK£3.59
UK£3.63
+1.1%
18.3%UK£4.90UK£2.80UK£2.5311

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 19:33
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

AJ Bell plc is covered by 18 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael SandersonBarclays
Michael SandersonBarclays
Alexander MedhurstBarclays