Alpha Group International plc

LSE:ALPH Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£934.9m

Alpha Group International Valuation

Is ALPH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALPH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALPH (£22.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£17.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALPH is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALPH?

Key metric: As ALPH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALPH. This is calculated by dividing ALPH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALPH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.9x
EarningsUK£94.10m
Market CapUK£934.88m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALPH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALPH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.9x
CMCX CMC Markets
8.3x-7.0%UK£698.8m
AJB AJ Bell
22.1x9.6%UK£1.9b
TCAP TP ICAP Group
19.3x20.5%UK£1.9b
FRP FRP Advisory Group
13.9x-1.2%UK£366.5m
ALPH Alpha Group International
9.9x6.3%UK£934.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALPH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALPH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.3xn/aUS$35.95m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.5xn/aUS$6.40m
MAFL Mineral & Financial Investments
2.4xn/aUS$5.93m
No more companies available in this PE range
ALPH 9.9xIndustry Avg. 11.6xNo. of Companies16PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALPH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALPH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALPH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.9x
Fair PE Ratio14.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALPH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALPH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£22.20
UK£30.35
+36.7%
8.7%UK£33.00UK£27.70n/a2
Dec ’25UK£21.90
UK£30.35
+38.6%
8.7%UK£33.00UK£27.70n/a2
Nov ’25UK£21.80
UK£30.35
+39.2%
8.7%UK£33.00UK£27.70n/a2
Oct ’25UK£21.90
UK£30.35
+38.6%
8.7%UK£33.00UK£27.70n/a2
Sep ’25UK£25.80
UK£30.35
+17.6%
8.7%UK£33.00UK£27.70n/a2
Aug ’25UK£25.60
UK£30.35
+18.6%
8.7%UK£33.00UK£27.70n/a2
Jul ’25UK£22.20
UK£26.88
+21.1%
0.5%UK£27.00UK£26.75n/a2
Jun ’25UK£23.20
UK£26.88
+15.8%
0.5%UK£27.00UK£26.75n/a2
May ’25UK£21.20
UK£26.88
+26.8%
0.5%UK£27.00UK£26.75n/a2
Apr ’25UK£19.00
UK£26.88
+41.4%
0.5%UK£27.00UK£26.75n/a2
Mar ’25UK£16.90
UK£26.88
+59.0%
0.5%UK£27.00UK£26.75n/a2
Feb ’25UK£16.85
UK£27.90
+65.6%
3.2%UK£28.80UK£27.00n/a2
Jan ’25UK£17.50
UK£28.90
+65.1%
0.3%UK£29.00UK£28.80n/a2
Dec ’24UK£16.70
UK£28.90
+73.1%
0.3%UK£29.00UK£28.80UK£21.902
Nov ’24UK£15.00
UK£28.90
+92.7%
0.3%UK£29.00UK£28.80UK£21.802
Oct ’24UK£18.70
UK£28.90
+54.5%
0.3%UK£29.00UK£28.80UK£21.902
Sep ’24UK£20.90
UK£27.18
+30.0%
6.7%UK£29.00UK£25.35UK£25.802
Aug ’24UK£22.60
UK£27.18
+20.2%
6.7%UK£29.00UK£25.35UK£25.602

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 22:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Alpha Group International plc is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ciaran DonnellyPanmure Liberum
Caspar ErskinePanmure Liberum
Gautam PillaiPeel Hunt LLP