Adyen Valuation

Is ADYENA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADYENA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADYENA (€1279.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€940.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADYENA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADYENA?

Key metric: As ADYENA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADYENA. This is calculated by dividing ADYENA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADYENA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47.2x
Earnings€825.76m
Market Cap€38.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADYENA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADYENA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.3x
WISE Wise
19.8x-7.9%UK£8.5b
PAY PayPoint
16.3x13.3%UK£581.1m
BOKU Boku
97.1x38.6%UK£555.9m
III 3i Group
7.8x18.2%UK£33.0b
ADYENA Adyen
47.2x19.8%€38.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADYENA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the peer average (35.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADYENA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Diversified Financial Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NBS Nationwide Building Society
0.9xn/aUS$1.52b
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies3PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADYENA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the UK Diversified Financial industry average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADYENA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADYENA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.2x
Fair PE Ratio28x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADYENA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADYENA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1,279.60
€1,640.93
+28.2%
11.8%€2,100.00€1,065.00n/a29
Nov ’25€1,430.10
€1,631.45
+14.1%
11.4%€1,950.00€1,065.00n/a29
Oct ’25€1,368.40
€1,607.14
+17.4%
11.4%€1,950.00€1,065.00n/a28
Sep ’25€1,336.00
€1,596.43
+19.5%
11.5%€1,950.00€1,065.00n/a28
Aug ’25€1,110.80
€1,601.14
+44.1%
11.0%€1,900.00€1,065.00n/a29
Jul ’25€1,115.20
€1,634.76
+46.6%
9.6%€1,900.00€1,300.00n/a29
Jun ’25€1,182.60
€1,619.23
+36.9%
11.4%€1,900.00€1,200.00n/a30
May ’25€1,133.20
€1,626.23
+43.5%
11.7%€2,000.00€1,200.00n/a30
Apr ’25€1,574.20
€1,614.19
+2.5%
12.3%€2,000.00€1,200.00n/a31
Mar ’25€1,470.20
€1,548.23
+5.3%
13.1%€2,000.00€1,200.00n/a31
Feb ’25€1,204.20
€1,264.00
+5.0%
17.2%€1,660.00€730.00n/a30
Jan ’25€1,181.80
€1,100.78
-6.9%
22.4%€1,660.00€730.00n/a30
Dec ’24€1,084.50
€1,048.49
-3.3%
23.7%€1,660.00€695.00n/a29
Nov ’24€648.00
€987.39
+52.4%
26.5%€1,660.00€650.00€1,430.1029
Oct ’24€647.60
€1,042.65
+61.0%
24.4%€1,660.00€720.00€1,368.4025
Sep ’24€775.20
€1,122.51
+44.8%
23.8%€1,900.00€750.00€1,336.0026
Aug ’24€1,652.00
€1,682.57
+1.9%
16.0%€2,170.00€1,050.00€1,110.8025
Jul ’24€1,590.60
€1,686.91
+6.1%
15.9%€2,169.49€1,050.00€1,115.2025
Jun ’24€1,551.80
€1,640.40
+5.7%
18.0%€2,169.49€897.00€1,182.6027
May ’24€1,448.20
€1,619.65
+11.8%
17.4%€2,100.00€897.00€1,133.2025
Apr ’24€1,461.10
€1,611.32
+10.3%
17.8%€2,100.00€897.00€1,574.2025
Mar ’24€1,327.80
€1,612.92
+21.5%
18.4%€2,300.00€897.00€1,470.2026
Feb ’24€1,431.40
€1,762.22
+23.1%
20.2%€2,550.00€897.00€1,204.2027
Jan ’24€1,300.60
€1,895.19
+45.7%
19.4%€2,550.00€897.00€1,181.8027
Dec ’23€1,509.90
€1,896.04
+25.6%
20.6%€2,550.00€897.00€1,084.5026
Nov ’23€1,430.20
€1,901.88
+33.0%
21.0%€2,550.00€897.00€648.0025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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