Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Time Finance plc's (LON:TIME) Share Price

AIM:TIME
Source: Shutterstock

Time Finance plc's (LON:TIME) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 29x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Time Finance as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Time Finance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:TIME Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 26th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Time Finance will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Time Finance would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 108% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 1,718% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 12% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 12%, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it odd that Time Finance is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Time Finance's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Time Finance currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Time Finance you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Time Finance, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Time Finance is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.