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Mattioli Woods Valuation

Is MTW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTW (£8.02) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTW is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTW?

Key metric: As MTW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MTW. This is calculated by dividing MTW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MTW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.5x
EarningsUK£9.91m
Market CapUK£431.25m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.6x
POLN Pollen Street Group
9.4x3.1%UK£436.1m
GHE Gresham House
31.5x16.4%UK£444.6m
TAM Tatton Asset Management
27x11.9%UK£422.5m
BOOK Literacy Capital
14.5xn/aUK£308.2m
MTW Mattioli Woods
43.5x26.7%UK£431.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the peer average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.2xn/aUS$35.28m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.4xn/aUS$5.78m
MAFL Mineral & Financial Investments
1.9xn/aUS$4.95m
No more companies available in this PE range
MTW 43.5xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies18PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.5x
Fair PE Ratio20.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MTW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
UK£8.54
0%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
UK£8.54
0%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
UK£8.54
0%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
Sep ’25UK£8.02
UK£8.54
+6.4%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
Aug ’25UK£7.93
UK£8.54
+7.6%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
Jul ’25UK£7.86
UK£8.54
+8.6%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
Jun ’25UK£7.91
UK£8.54
+7.9%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
May ’25UK£7.91
UK£8.54
+7.9%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
Apr ’25UK£7.92
UK£8.54
+7.8%
3.4%UK£8.75UK£8.04n/a4
Mar ’25UK£5.50
UK£8.47
+54.0%
3.5%UK£8.75UK£8.00n/a5
Feb ’25UK£5.96
UK£8.59
+44.1%
2.3%UK£8.75UK£8.25n/a4
Jan ’25UK£6.15
UK£8.84
+43.7%
6.0%UK£9.70UK£8.25n/a4
Dec ’24UK£6.20
UK£8.84
+42.5%
6.0%UK£9.70UK£8.25n/a4
Nov ’24UK£5.00
UK£8.84
+76.8%
6.0%UK£9.70UK£8.25n/a4
Oct ’24UK£5.75
UK£8.84
+53.7%
6.0%UK£9.70UK£8.25n/a4
Sep ’24UK£5.90
UK£8.89
+50.7%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.47UK£8.023
Aug ’24UK£6.00
UK£8.89
+48.2%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.47UK£7.933
Jul ’24UK£6.20
UK£8.89
+43.4%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.47UK£7.863
Jun ’24UK£6.30
UK£8.89
+41.1%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.47UK£7.913
May ’24UK£6.10
UK£8.89
+45.7%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.47UK£7.913
Apr ’24UK£5.85
UK£8.83
+51.0%
7.0%UK£9.70UK£8.30UK£7.923
Mar ’24UK£5.85
UK£8.83
+51.0%
7.0%UK£9.70UK£8.30UK£5.503
Feb ’24UK£6.50
UK£8.90
+36.9%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.50UK£5.963
Jan ’24UK£6.25
UK£8.90
+42.4%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.50UK£6.153
Dec ’23UK£6.25
UK£8.90
+42.4%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.50UK£6.203
Nov ’23UK£5.80
UK£8.90
+53.4%
6.4%UK£9.70UK£8.50UK£5.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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