Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Impax Asset Management Group Plc's (LON:IPX) 26% Share Price Plunge

AIM:IPX
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Impax Asset Management Group Plc (LON:IPX) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, Impax Asset Management Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 30x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Impax Asset Management Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Impax Asset Management Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:IPX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 15th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Impax Asset Management Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Impax Asset Management Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 6.3%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 9.5% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.7% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 14% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Impax Asset Management Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Impax Asset Management Group's P/E?

Impax Asset Management Group's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Impax Asset Management Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Impax Asset Management Group, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.